交通运输系统工程与信息 ›› 2011, Vol. 11 ›› Issue (2): 17-20.

• 综合交通运输体系论坛 • 上一篇    下一篇

公路客运价格对消费价格指数波动的影响研究

隋丽娜*,陈建华,曹沫   

  1. 交通运输部科学研究院,北京 100029
  • 收稿日期:2010-11-29 修回日期:2011-02-25 出版日期:2011-04-28 发布日期:2011-05-10
  • 通讯作者: 隋丽娜
  • 作者简介:隋丽娜(1976-),女,吉林省通化县人,助理研究员.

Contribution Rate of Highway Passenger Transportation Price to Consumer Price Index

SUI Li-na, CHEN Jian-hua, CAO Mo   

  1. China Academy of Transportation Sciences, Beijing 100029, China
  • Received:2010-11-29 Revised:2011-02-25 Online:2011-04-28 Published:2011-05-10
  • Contact: SUI Li-na

摘要: 近年来我国居民消费价格指数波动幅度较大,通胀和紧缩压力交替出现,宏观经济调控难度逐渐加大. 公路客运价格是测算居民消费价格指数的基础指标之一,本文通过建立居民消费价格分类指数对总指数的贡献度模型,定量测算公路客运价格对居民消费价格指数波动的贡献程度. 测算结果表明, 交通指数对居民消费价格指数贡献较大且增长较快,从2002年的4.44%增长到2007年的7.47%,与我国私人汽车保有量快速增长的发展趋势相一致,而长途汽车价格指数对居民消费价格指数的贡献度比较小且波动不大,基本维持在2.41%左右,较好地起到了平抑消费价格指数上涨的作用.

关键词: 公路运输, 公路, 客运价格, 居民消费价格指数, 定量测算, 贡献度

Abstract: Due to the alternate inflation and deflation pressure caused by the fluctuation of consumer price index, it has imposed more difficulty in the control of macro economy. Highway passenger transportation price is one of the basic indexes in determining the consumer price index, and in this article the contribution of highway passenger transportation price to the consumer price index is analyzed quantitatively by building a contribution degree model. The analysis shows that traffic index contributes a lot to the consumer price index and increases gradually, from 4.44% in 2002 to 7.47% in 2007, consistent with the trend of increasing private car possession; while long distance bus price index contributes less and keeps a stable level of 2.41% or so thus playing an important role in maintaining the consumer price index.

Key words: highway transportation, highway, passenger transportation price, consumer price index, quantitative survey, contribution rate

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