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考虑出行群组异质性的有轨电车发展决策行为偏好研究
引用本文:安萌,陈学武,杜江.考虑出行群组异质性的有轨电车发展决策行为偏好研究[J].交通信息与安全,2022,40(2):145-154.
作者姓名:安萌  陈学武  杜江
作者单位:1.东南大学交通学院 南京 211189
摘    要:将有轨电车发展的研讨视为1项决策过程,按照基本属性、出行目的、出行模式等异质性特征,将出行群体划分为不同群组,开展基于不同异质性群组对发展有轨电车决策的偏好特性研究.通过融合行为偏好(RP)的意向偏好(SP)问卷调查,获取不同群组的基本属性及决策偏好特征数据.考虑有轨电车发展决策同时受环境要素、个体社会经济属性及出行需...

关 键 词:交通信息  有轨电车  群组异质性  多水平Logistic模型  决策偏好
收稿时间:2021-12-20

Behavior Preference in the Decisions-making Process for Streetcar Development Considering Heterogeneity Within the Clusters of Urban Residents
AN Meng,CHEN Xuewu,DU Jiang.Behavior Preference in the Decisions-making Process for Streetcar Development Considering Heterogeneity Within the Clusters of Urban Residents[J].Journal of Transport Information and Safety,2022,40(2):145-154.
Authors:AN Meng  CHEN Xuewu  DU Jiang
Affiliation:1.School of Transportation, Southeast University, Nanjing 211189, China2.Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Urban ITS, Southeast University, Nanjing 211189, China3.Chongqing Urban Construction Research Center, Chongqing 400020, China
Abstract:Considering the survey for streetcar development as a part of decision-making process, travelers are divided into different clusters according to their heterogeneous characteristics such as personal attributes, travel purposes, and travel modes. A study on decisions-making preference to streetcar development based on the cluster heterogeneity is then carried out. Based on a questionnaire survey with Stated Preference (SP) and Revealed Preference (RP), data of personal attributes and characteristics of decision-making preference of different clusters are collected. The data has been obtained with multiple measurements in different travel groups and scenarios, considering the influences of multi-level factors, i.e. environmental factors, personal socio-economic attributes, and travel demands, on behavioral preference in the decisions-making process for streetcar development. A multilevel logistic model is used to develop a model with cluster heterogeneity. Parameters of the model are estimated using three heterogeneous cluster samples, i.e. commuting scenario with public transportation, traveling other than commuting scenario with public transportation, and traveling with private transportation scenario. The results show that: ①Individual's perception of tram technology have no impact on the preference for its development.②Negative effect of increasing age on the preference for tram development gradually decreases in the same heterogeneous group, which indicates the preference for tram development gradually increases with age, and this trend is more significant in the traveling other than commuting scenario of public transportation.③The number of available cars has significant negative influence on the preference of tram development in all heterogeneous groups. Study results show that the higher the number of available cars in the household, the lower the support of individuals for tram development. ④Both travel time and cost have significant negative effects on preferences for tram development, as the support for tram development tends to decrease as travel time or travel cost increases, and it is also found that travel groups are more sensitive such a negative impact under the perception of the skeletal transportation function than that under the perception of quality transportation function. 
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