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重大疫情下铁路应急救援能力评估指标体系构建
引用本文:陈钉均,孙运豪,李俊捷,倪少权.重大疫情下铁路应急救援能力评估指标体系构建[J].交通运输工程学报,2020,20(3):129-138.
作者姓名:陈钉均  孙运豪  李俊捷  倪少权
作者单位:1.西南交通大学 交通运输与物流学院, 四川 成都 6100312.西南交通大学 综合交通运输智能化国家地方联合工程实验室, 四川 成都 6100313.西南交通大学 综合交通大数据应用技术国家工程实验室, 四川 成都 610031
基金项目:国家自然科学基金;中国铁路总公司科技研究开发计划;成都市科技计划;国家重点研发计划
摘    要:从铁路应急准备能力、铁路应急响应能力及铁路应急恢复能力3个方面, 构建了重大疫情下铁路应急救援能力预选评估指标; 为提高指标的科学性、可行性、独立性和可靠性, 应用传递闭包法对指标进行筛选, 构建了3个一级指标、15个二级指标、49个三级指标作为重大疫情下铁路应急救援能力评估指标体系, 并通过基于三角模糊数的层次分析法计算体系内各指标权重。分析结果表明: 一级指标中铁路应急准备能力、铁路应急响应能力、铁路应急恢复能力权重分别为0.26、0.53、0.21, 铁路应急响应能力权重最大; 在疫情期间应着重保障医护人员和物资的输送, 采取有效措施防止疫情进一步扩散; 铁路应急准备能力下属二级指标中, 应急物资指标权重最大, 为0.29, 在准备阶段应防微杜渐, 做好应急物资储备工作, 提高应急物资经费占比, 明确各应急机构权责, 及时完善更新应急预案; 运营恢复权重为0.47, 在铁路应急恢复能力下属的二级指标中占比最大, 在恢复阶段应着重提高运营列车数, 及时公开运营列车信息, 开行复工专列。该体系为提升重大疫情下铁路应急救援能力提供科学有效的参考。 

关 键 词:铁路运输    重大疫情    应急救援    传递闭包法    评估指标体系
收稿时间:2020-03-01

Construction of evaluation index system for emergency rescue capacity of rail transit under serious epidemic situation
CHEN Ding-jun,SUN Yun-hao,LI Jun-jie,NI Shao-quan.Construction of evaluation index system for emergency rescue capacity of rail transit under serious epidemic situation[J].Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering,2020,20(3):129-138.
Authors:CHEN Ding-jun  SUN Yun-hao  LI Jun-jie  NI Shao-quan
Affiliation:1.School of Transportation and Logistics, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031, Sichuan, China2.National United Engineering Laboratory of Integrated and Intelligent Transportation, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031, Sichuan, China3.National Engineering Laboratory of Integrated Transportation Big Data Application Technology, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031, Sichuan, China
Abstract:The pre-selection evaluation indicators of railway emergency rescue capability under serious epidemic situation were constructed from three aspects, including railway emergency preparation capability, railway emergency response capability and railway emergency recovery capability. In order to improve the scientificity, feasibility, independence and reliability of the indicators, the transitive closure method was used to select the indicators. The evaluation indicator system of railway emergency rescue capability under serious epidemic situation was established, including 3 first level indicators, 15 second level indicators and 49 third level indicators, and the indicator weights were calculated by analytic hierarchy process based on triangular fuzzy number. Analysis result shows that, in the first level indicators, the weights of railway emergency preparation capability, railway emergency response capability and railway emergency recovery capability are 0.26, 0.53 and 0.21, respectively, and the weight of railway emergency response capacity is the largest. During the epidemic period, the transportation of medical staff and materials should be guaranteed, and the effective measures are taken to prevent the further spread of the epidemic. Among the second level indicators of the railway emergency preparation capability, the weight of emergency materials indicator is the largest with the value of 0.29. In the preparation stage, it is necessary to prevent the situation from getting worse, do a good job in emergency materials storage, increase the proportion of emergency materials funds, clarify the right and responsibility of each emergency organization, and timely improve and update the emergency plan. The weight of operation recovery is 0.47, which accounts for the largest proportion in the second level indicators under the railway emergency recovery capacity. In the recovery stage, the number of operating trains should be increased, the information of operating trains should be open timely, and the resumption special train should be set up. The system provides a scientific and effective reference for improving the railway's emergency rescue capability under serious epidemic situations. 
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