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构建高速公路交织区汇入决策模型,准确预测车辆汇入行为可以有效地减少汇入风险,缓解因不恰当汇入行为导致的高速公路拥堵。本文提出一种基于CART分类树的车辆汇入行为预测模型,基于NGSIM车辆轨迹数据并综合选取14个影响汇入行为的特征变量对模型进行验证与分析。由预测结果可知:模型的预测效果较好,泛化程度较高,其分类准确率,真正类率和真负类率分别为98.4%,98.5%和94.7%;与二项逻辑回归模型及支持向量机模型预测结果进行对比,分析结果表明CART分类树模型在预测交织区汇入行为上具有更高的准确率与正确率,并表现出更优异的性能。由变量敏感性分析结果可知:汇入车辆速度、辅助车道上前车与主体车辆之间的距离、主体车辆的超车时间等对交织区汇入行为具有重要影响。 相似文献
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《综合运输》2019,(1)
交通信号灯转换包括绿灯变黄灯、黄灯变红灯、红灯变绿灯三种情况,信号转换期与红灯稳定期的穿越行为会有所差异,本文研究行人及非机动车在信号灯转换期间的穿越行为特征及其关键影响因素。通过实地拍摄采集数据,将违规行为发生时刻细分为黄灯及全红时期违规、红灯稳定期违规和红灯最后4s的早启动违规,构建logit模型分析个体特征、情景条件和环境条件三类因素对各类违规行为的影响。研究结果表明穿越前是否有冲突车辆对黄灯及全红时期的违规行为产生显著影响;性别、停止纵向位置、等待时间、平均车流量和穿越前是否有冲突车辆对红灯稳定期间的违规有显著影响;交通方式和等待时前面违规的人数对早启动违规产生显著影响。 相似文献
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正在导航电子地图中加入实时交通信号信息,不仅非常必要,具有广阔市场前景,而且随着5G技术推广以及自动驾驶技术的普及,很多技术问题也在逐步解决。现在的导航电子地图均有显示路口的交通信号灯,但在绝大部分城市,电子地图无法显示交通信号灯的实时灯态。本文就电子导航地图显示实时灯态的必要性、可行性进行初步探讨。 相似文献
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文章针对当前城市智慧交通监管的路口交通的饱和度、拥堵以及闯红灯等问题,设计了基于计算机视觉技术的交通场景检测平台,结合机器学习算法,并融合多项高新技术,实现对路口过往车辆的流量和车速检测,对机动车闯红灯、斑马线不礼让行人、占用公交车道、违停或违规越线等违章行为进行检测识别,为公共交通的管理提供极大便利,实现了“智慧交通”和“平安交通”。 相似文献
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地铁车站客流量较大,行人流线复杂,在运营过程中往往存在着一系列的突发事件。为此,文章从城市轨道交通客流需求与运输能力着手,结合车站设备、构造、旅客行为特征,提出了基于MassMotion的城市轨道交通突发事件应急疏散仿真方法。通过确定仿真环境中所需要的基本参数,结合交通过程中行人行为特性,以三维模型空间为基础,对突发大客流进行仿真模拟研究,将车站的设施和行人抽象化。仿真结果显示,突发情况下车站内的所有人员能够在安全时间内迅速撤离到安全区,旅客的疏散速度、工作人员的疏散能力等行为特性对疏散效率有很大的影响。 相似文献
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通过深入分析开采深度、煤层顶底板性质、冲击倾向性、地质构造、开采技术等因素对煤层冲击危险性的影响,建立基于蝙蝠算法优化的BP神经网络煤层冲击危险性智能综合评价模型;将所确定的影响冲击危险性因素进行数量级划分,利用蝙蝠算法对BP神经网络的权值与阈值最优值选择进行优化,对煤层冲击危险性进行无冲击危险性、弱冲击危险性、中等冲击危险性、强冲击危险性的等级评价。应用蝙蝠算法优化BP神经网络煤层冲击危险性智能综合评价模型对内蒙古某矿的煤层及江苏某煤矿工作面进行实例验证,评价结果与综合指数法计算所得结果一致,表明该模型可以用于煤层冲击危险性评价。应用该模型对煤层进行冲击危险性评价时,改善了BP网络结构在权值和阈值确定上的随机缺陷,提高了算法稳定性,因而得到的评价结果更加合理。 相似文献
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Investigating the applicability of exclusive pedestrian phase at two‐phase actuated controlled intersections 下载免费PDF全文
The exclusive pedestrian phase (EPP) has been used in many countries to promote walking around downtown areas by increasing the ease and convenience of pedestrian crossing. However, its applicability has not been systematically demonstrated, especially when an intersection is operated in actuated mode. This paper presents an extensive simulation‐based analysis of the applicability of EPP as compared with a normal concurrent pedestrian‐phase pattern at an isolated intersection controlled by actuated logic. Actuated signal control logics for EPP‐actuated and conventional concurrent pedestrian phase‐actuated controls are developed. Both of these control logics consider pedestrian crossing demands and can adapt to changes in vehicle traffic to reduce vehicle delay as well. A simulation model of a two‐phase controlled intersection is built and calibrated based on field data using VISSIM (PTV Planung Transport Verkehr AG in Karlsruhe, Germany). Extensive analysis is conducted to reveal fully the applicable EPP domain in terms of vehicle traffic demand, pedestrian demand, vehicle turning ratio, and pedestrian diagonal crossing ratio. The results show that the performance and applicable domain of EPP are jointly determined by those five factors. EPP significantly outperforms concurrent pedestrian phase if the vehicle turning ratio is greater than 0.6 and the pedestrian diagonal crossing ratio is greater than 0.6. These results can help traffic engineers in choosing the appropriate pedestrian‐phase patterns at actuated signalized intersections. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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In urban emergency evacuation, a potentially large number of evacuees may depend either on transit or other modes, or need to walk a long distance, to access their passenger cars. In the process of approaching the designated pick-up points or parking areas for evacuation, the massive number of pedestrians may cause tremendous burden to vehicles in the roadway network. Responsible agencies often need to contend with congestion incurred by massive vehicles emanating from parking garages, evacuation buses generated from bus stops, and the conflicts between evacuees and vehicles at intersections. Hence, an effective plan for such evacuation needs to concurrently address both the multi-modal traffic route assignment and the optimization of network signal controls for mixed traffic flows. This paper presents an integrated model to produce the optimal distribution of vehicle and pedestrian flows, and the responsive network signal plan for massive mixed pedestrian–vehicle flows within the evacuation zone. The proposed model features its effectiveness in accounting for multiple types of evacuation vehicles, the interdependent relations between pedestrian and vehicle flows via some conversion locations, and the inevitable conflicts between intersection turning vehicle and pedestrian flows. An illustrating example concerning an evacuation around the M&T stadium area has been presented, and the results indicate the promising properties of our proposed model, especially on reflecting the complex interactions between vehicle and pedestrian flows and the favorable use of high-occupancy vehicles for evacuation operations. 相似文献
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Henry X. Liu Xinkai Wu Wenteng Ma Heng Hu 《Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies》2009,17(4):412-427
How to estimate queue length in real-time at signalized intersection is a long-standing problem. The problem gets even more difficult when signal links are congested. The traditional input–output approach for queue length estimation can only handle queues that are shorter than the distance between vehicle detector and intersection stop line, because cumulative vehicle count for arrival traffic is not available once the detector is occupied by the queue. In this paper, instead of counting arrival traffic flow in the current signal cycle, we solve the problem of measuring intersection queue length by exploiting the queue discharge process in the immediate past cycle. Using high-resolution “event-based” traffic signal data, and applying Lighthill–Whitham–Richards (LWR) shockwave theory, we are able to identify traffic state changes that distinguish queue discharge flow from upstream arrival traffic. Therefore, our approach can estimate time-dependent queue length even when the signal links are congested with long queues. Variations of the queue length estimation model are also presented when “event-based” data is not available. Our models are evaluated by comparing the estimated maximum queue length with the ground truth data observed from the field. Evaluation results demonstrate that the proposed models can estimate long queues with satisfactory accuracy. Limitations of the proposed model are also discussed in the paper. 相似文献
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Optimization of pedestrian phase patterns at signalized intersections: a multi‐objective approach 下载免费PDF全文
This paper presents a multi‐objective optimization model and its solution algorithm for optimization of pedestrian phase patterns, including the exclusive pedestrian phase (EPP) and the conventional two‐way crossing (TWC) at an intersection. The proposed model will determine the optimal pedestrian phase pattern and the corresponding signal timings at an intersection to best accommodate both vehicular traffic and pedestrian movements. The proposed model is unique with respect to the following three critical features: (1) proposing an unbiased performance index for comparison of EPP and TWC by explicitly modeling the pedestrian delay under the control of TWC and EPP; (2) developing a multi‐objective model to maximize the utilization of the available green time by vehicular traffic and pedestrian under both EPP or TWC; and (3) designing a genetic algorithm based heuristic algorithm to solve the model. Case study and sensitivity analysis results have shown the promising property of the proposed model to assist traffic practitioners, researchers, and authorities in properly selecting pedestrian phase patterns at signalized intersections. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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Limited pedestrian behavior models shed light on the case at signalized crosswalk, where pedestrian behavior is characterized by group or individual evasion with surrounding pedestrians, collision avoidance with conflicting vehicles, and response to signal control and crosswalk boundary. This study fills this gap by developing a microscopic simulation model for pedestrian behavior analysis at signalized intersection. The social force theory has been employed and adjusted for this purpose. The parameters, including measurable and non-measurable ones, are either directly estimated based on observed dataset or indirectly derived by maximum likelihood estimation. Last, the model performance was confirmed in light of individual trajectory comparison between estimation and observation, passing position distribution at several cross-sections, collision avoidance behavior with conflicting vehicles, and lane-formation phenomenon. The simulation results also concluded that the model enables to visually represent pedestrian crossing behavior as in the real world. 相似文献
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《Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice》2006,40(3):280-290
In many Chinese cities, pedestrian’s road crossing behavior is different from that of pedestrians in developed countries. This paper presents a pedestrian model for traffic system micro-simulation in China. Considering the high rate of signal non-compliance, we classify pedestrians into two types: law-obeying ones and opportunistic ones. Opportunistic ones decide whether to violate traffic signal during red man, depending on the states of some external factors (like policeman, vehicle flow and other pedestrians’ behaviors). Questionnaires were used to determine the proportions of these two types of pedestrians under different circumstances. In addition, a time gap distribution extracted from videotape were used to determine the criterion for pedestrians to decide whether to walk or wait when they conflict with vehicle flows. However, simulation results deviate from the data extracted from videotape in some degree. By adjusting the parameters on the basis of analyzing the occurrence of the deviations, the simulation results agree with the field results better. This model has represented the high rate of pedestrians’ red light running and the mixed characteristics of traffic flows in Chinese cities, and it may be applicable in the micro-simulation of traffic system in other developing cities. 相似文献
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Jan-Dirk Schmcker Sonal Ahuja Michael G.H. Bell 《Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies》2008,16(4):454-470
This paper presents an approach to multi-objective signal control using fuzzy logic. The signal control uses fuzzy logic where the membership functions are optimised according to the Bellman–Zadeh principle of fuzzy decision-making. This approach is both practical for the decision-maker and efficient, as it leads directly to a Pareto-optimal solution. Signal control priorities are ultimately a political decision. Therefore the tool developed in this research allows the traffic engineer to balance the objectives easily by setting acceptability and unacceptability thresholds for each objective. Particular attention is given in the example to pedestrian delays. The membership functions of the fuzzy logic are optimised by a genetic algorithm coupled to the VISSIM microscopic traffic simulator. The concept is illustrated with a case study of the Marylebone Road–Baker Street intersection in London at which pedestrians as well as vehicle flows are high. The results prove the feasibility of the framework and show the vehicle delays for a more pedestrian friendly signal control strategy. 相似文献
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When operated at low speeds, electric and hybrid vehicles have created pedestrian safety concerns in congested areas of various city centers, because these vehicles have relatively silent engines compared to those of internal combustion engine vehicles, resulting in safety issues for pedestrians and cyclists due to the lack of engine noise to warn them of an oncoming electric or hybrid vehicle. However, the driver behavior characteristics have also been considered in many studies, and the high end-prices of electric vehicles indicate that electric vehicle drivers tend to have a higher prosperity index and are more likely to receive a better education, making them more alert while driving and more likely to obey traffic rules. In this paper, the positive and negative factors associated with electric vehicle adoption and the subsequent effects on pedestrian traffic safety are investigated using an agent-based modeling approach, in which a traffic micro-simulation of a real intersection is simulated in 3D using AnyLogic software. First, the interacting agents and dynamic parameters are defined in the agent-based model. Next, a 3D intersection environment is created to integrate the agent-based model into a visual simulation, where the simulation records the number of near-crashes occurring in certain pedestrian crossings throughout the virtual time duration of a year. A sensitivity analysis is also carried out with 9000 subsequent simulations performed in a supercomputer to account for the variation in dynamic parameters (ambient sound level, vehicle sound level, and ambient illumination). According to the analysis, electric vehicles have a 30% higher pedestrian traffic safety risk than internal combustion engine vehicles under high ambient sound levels. At low ambient sound levels, however, electric vehicles have only a 10% higher safety risk for pedestrians. Low levels of ambient illumination also increase the number of pedestrians involved in near-crashes for both electric vehicles and combustion engine vehicles. 相似文献
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For the purposes of both traffic-light control and the design of roadway layouts, it is important to understand pedestrian street-crossing behavior because it is not only crucial for improving pedestrian safety but also helps to optimize vehicle flow. This paper explores the mechanism of pedestrian street crossings during the red-man phase of traffic light signals and proposes a model for pedestrians’ waiting times at signalized intersections. We start from a simplified scenario for a particular pedestrian under specific traffic conditions. Then we take into account the interaction between vehicles and pedestrians via statistical unconditioning. We show that this in general leads to a U-shaped distribution of the pedestrians’ intended waiting time. This U-shaped distribution characterizes the nature of pedestrian street-crossing behavior, showing that in general there are a large proportion of pedestrians who cross the street immediately after arriving at the crossing point, and a large proportion of pedestrians who are willing to wait for the entire red-man phase. The U-shaped distribution is shown to reduce to a J-shaped or L-shaped distribution for certain traffic scenarios. The proposed statistical model was applied to analyze real field data. 相似文献
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The use of gait parameters to evaluate pedestrian behavior at scramble phase signalized intersections 下载免费PDF全文
Pedestrian scramble phasing is usually implemented to reduce pedestrian‐vehicle conflicts and therefore increase the safety of the intersection. However, to adequately determine the benefits of scramble phasing, it is necessary to understand how pedestrians react to such an unconventional design. This study investigates changes in pedestrian crossing behavior following the implementation of a scramble phase by examining the spatiotemporal gait parameters (step length and step frequency). This detailed microscopic‐level analysis provides insight into changes in pedestrian walking mechanisms as well as the effect of various pedestrian and intersection characteristics. The study uses video data collected at a scramble phase signalized intersection in Oakland, California. Gait parameters were found to be influenced by pedestrian gender, age, group size, crosswalk length, and pedestrian signal indications. Both average step length and walking speed were significantly higher for diagonally crossing pedestrians compared with pedestrians crossing on the conventional crosswalks. Pedestrians were found to have the tendency to increase their step length more than their step frequency to increase walking speed. It was also found that, compared with men, women generally increase their walking speed by increasing their step frequency more than step length. However, when in non‐compliance with signal indications, women increase their walking speed by increasing their step length more than step frequency. It was also found that older pedestrians do not significantly change their walking behavior when in non‐compliance with signal indications. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献