我国主要内贸集装箱航线运量预测

在对我国内贸三大货源地中各主要运输节点集装箱生成量进行预测的基础上，根据各种运输方式进行合理分流，得出了未来10年我国主要内贸集装箱航线的运量，并依据预测结果对我国内贸集装箱运输的发展提出了建议。     

水路内贸集装箱超载治理倡议书

<正>2000年以来,我国水路内贸集装箱运输取得了长足发展,伴随内贸集装箱运输规模迅速扩大,内贸集装箱超载是一个突出问题,超载箱现象在我国沿海和内河运输中普遍存在。     

我国集装箱码头内贸箱价格亟需理顺

<正>一、目前我国内贸箱发展概况我国内贸箱的发展借助于国际集装箱运输事业乘势腾飞而上。一是国际航线开辟了支线运输和重箱往返的经济运输,使得外贸箱与内贸箱通用;二是外贸箱新码头高速发展,将老旧的码头用     

推进我国水路内贸标准集装箱运输的几点思考

根据国际水运市场的最新发展态势，围绕现代物流业的重要环节，从我国港航企业的生产实际出发，率先提出了大力发展水路内贸标准集箱运输的新思路。本文通过上海港龙吴港务公司内贸标准集装箱业务的发展历程，深入分析了我国水路内贸标准集装箱运输飞速发展的成因，详尽阐述了内贸标准集装箱运输在顺应现代物流的发展，促进港航企业产业的结调整以及提高装卸运输效率和质量方面的优越性，从而加深了对发展我国水路内贸标准集装箱运输     

新冠肺炎疫情下内贸集装箱港口发展破局之策

与外贸集装箱运输市场的火爆行情相比,2021年内贸集装箱(以下简称"内贸箱")运输市场发展呈现疲弱态势.2021年1-8月,北靠东北三省粮仓的辽宁港口主要码头内贸箱吞吐量较上年同期减少55万TEU,降幅达10％.辽宁港口水水集装箱中转量占比较低,其内贸箱吞吐量能够真实地反映当前我国内贸箱运输市场发展情况.自1996年我国开通首条内贸箱班轮航线以来,内贸箱运输市场一直处于辅助和补充外贸箱运输市场的地位,内贸箱港口企业也在盈亏边缘反复徘徊,即便在新冠肺炎疫情(以下简称"疫情")导致的航运热潮下,内贸箱港口发展依然面临诸多挑战.     

我国沿海内贸集装箱运输的最佳船型

针对我国沿海内贸集装箱运输市场的特点以及沿海内贸集装箱运输港、线、船、货的现状，充分考虑影响我国沿海内贸集装箱运输市场和船型选择的因素，建立沿海内贸集装箱运输最佳船型的选择模型，运用非线性规划的方法，以单箱最大利润为目标函数，求得最佳船型。以天津——广州（南沙）航线为例对模型进行验证，得出我国沿海内贸集装箱运输的最佳船型为载箱量6000TEU及船速22kn的结论。     

长江水路集装箱运输现状及发展

长江水路集装箱运输现状 1.集装箱港口情况 长江水路集装箱运输开始于1976年,开始运输5 t的内贸箱.1981年张家港成为长江上第一个开展集装箱运输业务的港口.1988年南京港开辟了南京一香港航线,当年完成2 000多箱(外贸),而全线内贸箱当年只有1 000多箱.80年代,国际集装箱运输业务集中在南京以下港口,运量规模亦不大.     

我国港口内贸集装箱运输发展面临的挑战和机遇

我国港口内贸集装箱运输于1996年正式起步,历经16年的成长和发展,取得令人瞩目的成绩。内贸集装箱运输具有运量大、成本低和能耗少的特点,日益受到货主的青睐,正逐渐成为许多港口发展的重点。本文结合我国港口内贸集装箱运输发展现状,分析内贸集装箱运输未来发展面临的挑战,同时指出内河航运发展、无水港建设及精细化管理给内贸集装箱运输发展带来的机遇。1我国港口内贸集装箱运输发展现状随着我国经济的持续发展,内贸集装箱运输作为我国港口集装箱运输的重要组成部分,在近几年迅速崛起,其发展速度、专业化程度和网络规模都得到大幅度提升,具有十分广阔的发展空间和前景。     

后危机时代我国内贸集装箱运输发展对策

为促进我国内贸集装箱运输健康快速发展,结合我国内贸集装箱运输发展现状,分析国际金融危机对内贸集装箱运输发展的影响以及内贸集装箱运输发展面临的机遇和挑战,并在此基础上提出相应对策。     

沿海内贸集装箱运输市场

回顾沿海内贸集装箱运输市场发展历史,结合经济环境和微观环境分析,预测沿海内贸集装箱运输市场发展趋势。     

Evolution and research trends of container shipping

The shipping industry was transformed by the expansion of international trade and technological innovation, notably containerization, since the 1960s. Accordingly, this was followed by a significant increase in research addressing different aspects of container shipping. Despite such availability, important questions have remained unanswered: what are the major contributions that the research community has made to the container shipping industry, global and regional economies? Have their contributions been skewed towards particular themes, directions, and geographical areas? What can the shipping research community learn from the evolution and trends of container shipping research so that they can continue to contribute to the well-being of the global and regional economies? To address these questions, the paper undertakes a critical review and analysis on the evolution and trends of research in container shipping in the past four decades, based on a collection of 282 papers investigating different topics in container shipping featuring in major scholarly journals between 1967 and 2012. The study enables the shipping research community to enhance self-understandings and identifies major gaps for further research.     

国际集装箱运输市场回顾与展望

对2001年国际集装箱运输市场的发展特点进行了回顾、总结,并根据世界经济、贸易发展的变化趋势,预测分析了2002年国际集装箱运输市场及我国集装箱运输市场的发展前景。     

Enhancing the competitiveness of Korea’s container shipping industry through structural improvements

ABSTRACT

After the collapse of Hanjin Shipping in 2016, Korea faced the task of reconstructing its container shipping industry by enhancing the competitiveness of its shipping companies in a rapidly evolving market environment. Responding to this need for policy design, this study first attempts to understand the industry based on the shipping ecosystem, which comprises the following four areas: shipping finance, collection of cargo, acquisition of ships, and partnership among carriers. Second, it lists the structural problems, along with the remedial policy alternatives, that were identified after conducting in-depth interviews with industry experts, which included mid-level managers. Third, it conducts an importance-performance analysis to classify problems according to their importance and performance, followed by an analytic hierarchy process analysis to define the priorities of policy alternatives. Finally, drawing on the empirical results, the paper concludes with suggestions on an integrated policy package for the container shipping industry.     

国际集装箱运输市场回顾及展望

2005年的国际航运市场总体发展相对良好,就国际集装箱运输市场而言,2005年市场发展的主要特点表现为:世界经济稳步增长,市场供需情况良好,箱货贸易量与运力投放量同步上升,市场运价高位整理,船公司收益普遍增长,租船市场依旧抢手,中国因素成为世界海运的核心动力。展望2006年,虽然存在许多不确定因素,但出现重大突发性事件的可能性较小,预计国际集装箱运输市场有望继续处于强势发展周期。     

国际集装箱运输市场回顾与展望

就2003年国际集装箱运输市场发展特点进行了回顾、总结,并结合世界政治、经济发展环境,对2004年国际集装箱运输市场的总体发展趋势进行了分析和预测。     

集装箱运输市场回顾及展望

对2002年集装箱航运市场走势的特点进行了回顾和总结;结合世界政治与经济形势,对2003年国内、国际集装箱市场的发展进行了总体预测和分析。     

2008年世界船舶市场评述及展望

回顾了2008年世界船舶市场的发展，并对未来一两年的船舶市场进行了预测。2008年上半年船舶行业继续保持快速发展，但受美国金融危机影响，下半年船舶建造市场急速降温，成交缩减，船价开始下滑。未来世界经济发展前景尚不乐观、航运市场运力投放集中，因此，油船、散货船、集装箱船市场短期内仍将维持弱势，但海洋工程装置受影响程度相对较小。     

集装箱航运服务组合拍卖模型研究

根据运输的“范围经济性”原理,阐述了集装箱航运服务组合拍卖的适用性,围绕价值因素和价值评价因素,分析了集装箱航运服务组合拍卖的比较优势,结合集装箱航运服务的特点,以拍卖者效用最大化和投标者总估值最大化平衡为目标,设计出了组合拍卖的机制和运作程序;针对组合拍卖中的竟胜标问题,建立了集装箱航运服务组合拍卖的一般优化模型,并通过引入集装箱航运服务质量属性参数和运量限制等约束条件,对其进行了改进。从而为实现集装箱航运服务在线拍卖提供理论支持和计算平台。     

An investigation of forecast horizon and observation fit’s influence on an econometric rate forecast model in the liner shipping industry

This paper evaluates the influence of forecast horizon and observation fit on the robustness and performance of a specific freight rate forecast model used in the liner shipping industry. In the first stage of the research, a forecast model used to predict container freight rate development is presented by exploring the relationship between individual company’s rates and aggregated market rates, and thus assists in dealing with uncertainty and market volatility for a given business situation. In the second stage, a design of experiment approach is applied to highlight the influence of the forecast horizon and observation fit and their interactions on the forecast model’s performance. The results underline the complicated nature of creating a suitable forecast model by balancing business needs, a desire to fit a good model and achieve high accuracy. There is strong empirical evidence from this study; that a robust model is preferable, that overfitting is a true danger, and that a balance must be achieved between forecast horizon and the number of observations used to fit the model. In addition, methodological guidance has also been provided on how to test, design, and choose the superior model for business needs.     

Cost analysis of bulk cargo containerization

ABSTRACT

Bulk cargo containerization (BCC) involves changes in the transportation mode of container shipping for cargo that uses bulk carriers without packing. This topic has recently attracted considerable attention as an alternative transportation method for container cargo. BCC is advantageous because it can address imbalances in the amount of cargo conveyed between the main and back hauls, thereby improving efficiency. A previous survey among companies involved in cargo shipping revealed that in addition to ocean freight, vanning and devanning, and customs clearance costs, consignees’ decisions were the key factor in selecting transport modes. The present study aims to clarify the cost competitiveness of container shipping and identify cost reductions that may increase the use of BCC. To quantitatively check the results of the survey employed in this study, we constructed a model based on consignees’ and container shipping companies’ costs to determine the choice of transport mode for back-haul trade, then examined the incentives for consignees and shipping companies. We found that BCC can be realized by cost reduction on the part of the consignee and profit improvement on the part of the container shipping company for some routes and goods. Although reducing the freight rate would effectively promote BCC, reducing other costs would not have the same effect.