A disaggregate analysis of factors influencing port selection

In this paper are presented the results of a multinomial logit model used to explain the selection of a port for each shipment exported from the US in December 1999. The model is estimated for combined shipments, and one model is estimated for each of four commodity types (bulk, foods, fabrics, manufactured). Results are compared across commodities to find the significance of the distance in either direction, the frequency of sailings, and the average size of vessels sailing along a route. Results of the estimation do not match those that would be expected. Potential reasons are given for such variations, along with numerous methods by which the modelling could be improved. Methods for improvement suggested include structuring of the model to represent more accurately the competitive scenario of each port, constraining the choice set for each shipments from characteristics of the carrier, and the commodity.     

江苏沿海建港自然条件及港址比选的模糊聚类分析

结合江苏省沿海地区的自然条件,分析讨论了其建港的优、劣势,并以如东吕四港、启东洋口港等7个港口选址为例,结合港口建设的评价指标,采用模糊聚类的方法对这7个港口进行了模糊聚类分析。结果表明洋口港、吕四港、大丰港条件较好,其他几个次之,可供港址比选时参考。     

基于主成分分析法的港口吞吐量内在影响因素研究

从可能影响港口吞吐量的若干因素出发,利用统计软件,采用主成分分析法提取最关键因素,基于太仓港的实证分析,剖析了港口吞吐量的内在影响机理,为未来太仓港的发展提供理论依据.     

谐振作用下粘弹性阻尼器影响因素的数值分析

粘弹性阻尼器是一种常用的被动减震装置,其耗能特性主要受温度、频率和应变幅值的影响.文中介绍粘弹性阻尼器的基本结构和工作机理,根据分数微分模型进行数值计算,编制电算程序,分别改变程序中温度、频率和应变幅值,根据所得的滞回曲线计算储存刚度、损失刚度和损失系数,讨论3种相关因素的影响,据此评定粘弹性阻尼器的软化特性和耗能能力.     

港口代际划分影响因素

在第4代港口理论研究基础上,从港口代际划分衡量标准的角度出发,提出港口代际划分的影响因素,即港城关联度、市场竞争程度、活动范围、港口功能、管理水平、经营网络规模和可持续发展等,并结合青岛港进行实证分析,认为青岛港目前正处于第3代港口的完善阶段。     

Geography and the cruise ship port selection process

The cruise ship industry is currently undergoing a period of rapid expansion. New cruise capacity threatens to produce overtonnaging, with future berths exceeding demand. Despite this development, cruise operators are confident that a growing North American market will be able to satisfy the equilibrium condition sought by vessel operators. This research explores where the new tonnage might be deployed and its eventual impact on the cruise industry. Geographic concepts are utilized to test and support the premise that geography contributes positively to the cruise port selection process. Itineraries, influenced by ‘site’ and ‘situation,’ are presently still the most important factor affecting cruise port selection.     

Geography and the cruise ship port selection process

The cruise ship industry is currently undergoing a period of rapid expansion. New cruise capacity threatens to produce overtonnaging, with future berths exceeding demand. Despite this development, cruise operators are confident that a growing North American market will be able to satisfy the equilibrium condition sought by vessel operators. This research explores where the new tonnage might be deployed and its eventual impact on the cruise industry. Geographic concepts are utilized to test and support the premise that geography contributes positively to the cruise port selection process. Itineraries, influenced by 'site' and 'situation,' are presently still the most important factor affecting cruise port selection.     

层次分析法在港口总体方案比选中的应用

介绍了在复杂因素情况下运用层次分析法进行港口工程总体方案综合比选的方法和过程.通过港口工程因素识别、构建层次模型、构造判断矩阵、因素权重分配、一致性检验、分值计算及综合评定等步骤,将人为的主观性依据用数量形式表达出来并进行量化综合比较,从而避免了传统方案比选采用定性判断的不足.     

集装箱港口竞争力影响因素的粗糙集分析

由于全球各集装箱港口之间的竞争日益激烈,而目前缺乏评价港口竞争力的权威指标体系,相关的指标数量众多,难以确定哪些是关键指标,为探讨影响港口竞争力的主要因素,尝试在集装箱港口竞争力的评价指标中引入新兴的数学工具粗糙集理论,通过属性约简,删除冗余指标,简化指标体系,从10个评价指标中提取影响评价结果的5个关键指标,为研究集装箱港口竞争力提供新的思路。     

Towards port infrastructure adaptation: a global port climate risk analysis

In this paper, a new concept of “port climate risk exposure function along the sea–land boundary axis” is introduced as a critical component towards port adaptation. This concept derived from a global survey which was conducted over 29 countries to assess perceived climate risks to port infrastructure from relevant experts. The methodology used 48 climate scenarios developed based on existing data. Ultimately, this paper serves as a global climate risk indicator to guide further adaptive initiatives in ports.     

A global view on port state control: econometric analysis of the differences across port state control regimes

This article is based on 183 819 port state control inspections from various port state control regimes for the time frame 1999 to 2004. Using binary logistic regression, we establish the differences of port state control inspections across several regimes, even though theory predicts there should be no significant differences in treatments of vessels. The results indicate that the differences towards the probability of detention are merely reflected by the differences in port states and the treatment of deficiencies and not necessarily by age, size, flag, class or owner as perceived by the industry and regulators. The analysis further shows that some differences can be found across ship types and regimes and that there appears to be room for further harmonization in the area of port state control.     

复合材料防滑衬垫摩擦性能要求及影响因素试验分析

为解决装甲车进出坞舱过程中的打滑、侧移问题,对装甲车与坞舱甲板湿摩擦接触面滑移运动过程进行理论分析,确定了装甲车装载过程中所需要的临界滑动摩擦系数;根据装甲车进出坞舱运动状态及衬垫服役环境,完成了衬垫结构设计,在考虑多种影响因素下,制备了16组衬垫试样进行摩擦性能测试,依此确定了最优衬垫方案,其湿摩擦系数可达0.87,质量磨损量为0.284 g。     

Risk influencing factors analysis of Arctic maritime transportation systems: a Chinese perspective

Recently, the melting of Arctic sea ice and development of maritime technology are enabling the regular voyages in Arctic waters. However, the Arctic maritime transportation system (AMTS) is a complex and dynamic system with respect to human, technical, environmental and organizational issues. For example, ships operating in Arctic waters suffer severe weather conditions, fully and partially ice-covered waters, and are also difficult to search and rescue in ice-covered Arctic waters due to remoteness from lands. These risk factors will influence the safety and security of ships operating in Arctic waters. For this, this paper identifies potential risk influencing factors (RIFs) for the AMTS from human, technical (ship), environmental and organizational aspects. An analytical hierarchy process (AHP) method is used to analyze the hierarchical relationships and calculate the relative importance of the selected RIFs. Due to the complexity and uncertainty involved in the comprehensive analysis of RIFs for the AMTS, fuzzy sets are incorporated into AHP analysis to represent and treat the epistemic uncertainty. The identified critical RIFs in this study can be used to propose specific guidance for the operations of crews on board, ship owners, and ship managers.     

On the cost-benefit analysis of port projects

This paper outlines the theoretical background to port-investment projects and compares this with current practice.     

模糊c-均值聚类法在干港选址中的应用

合理的干港选址,对于区域经济发展起着至关重要的作用.根据干港规划布局的影响因素,引入模糊c-均值聚类法,来验证干港选址的合理性.     

上海港拓展港口物流服务的模式设计和策略选择

通过分析上海港口物流的现状及存在的问题,利用协整模型和脉冲响应函数分析港口物流与经济发展之间的关系,证明上海发展港口物流完全是必须的、必要的,港口物流可以拉动经济增长、为港口赢得竞争力,最后为上海港拓展港口物流服务进行模式设计及策略选择。     

基于AHP和DEA的港口供应链合作伙伴选择

提出用层次分析法(AHP)和数据包络法(DEA)相结合的方法对港口供应链合作伙伴进行选择,并通过应用算例给出了解决该问题的具体解法.该方法综合了AHP和DEA的优点,既体现决策者的主观意向,又反映了客观的信息,将定性分析和定量分析有机结合起来,能够很好地反映合作伙伴选择的客观情况,有利于正确做出港口供应链合作伙伴选择,保证港口供应链的成功运作.     

临港产业集聚的基本影响因素

为推动我国临港产业区的进一步发展,对促进临港产业在地理空间上集聚并形成产业集群的运输成本、收益递增、外部经济等多项因素进行分析,认为基于预期在产业集聚过程中的引导作用,临港产业集群可以通过自生性循环累积而加速形成。     

青岛港物流公司SWOT分析

为抓住机遇,建设青岛港现代物流中心,运用SWOT分析法,对青岛港物流公司目前各项业务状况和公司整体经营情况进行分析,在此基础上,对发展青岛港物流公司定位和战略措施提出建议。     

海啸波浪中的船舶操纵

通过对海洋地震引起的海啸波浪的性质、传播以及对船舶航行安全的危害进行分析，从而提出海啸中的船舶安全操纵措施。