共查询到18条相似文献,搜索用时 125 毫秒
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以码头营运时船舶燃油泄漏存在的环境风险为例,从码头风险事故识别、源项分析以及风险管理,应急预案等方面对拟建的码头进行风险评价,通过采用溢油扩散、漂移模型对该码头船舶发生漏油风险事故时对水质进行影响分析,为码头选址的环境可行性论证提供技术依据。 相似文献
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文章以即将建成的广西北部湾港钦州30万吨级油码头工程为例,阐述钦州湾海上船舶溢油环境现状,并对溢油风险概率和风险源进行分析,评价溢油风险等级,为钦州湾海洋环境风险评价提供技术依据。 相似文献
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海上溢油属突发性海洋污染事故,需要人们进行快速应急反应,调用方方面面的应急技术装备及资源,尽可能对事故予以控制、减少所造成的环境污染等各种损害和不良影响。国内外支持溢油应急快速反应行动的相关技术主要用于以下方面:对海上溢油漂移的动态进行空中监视、浮标跟踪和模拟预测;对受威胁敏感资源发出污染预警,并采取必要措施加以保护;通过应急决策支持系统和溢油清污系统对海上溢油实施有效控制,采用适宜的回收设备进行清污。 相似文献
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运用故障树定性分析方法,建立船舶制冷装置中低压继电器动作的故障树模型.探讨船舶制冷装置低压继电器动作的预防途径,为制冷装置的安全管理提供参考. 相似文献
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西江航道实行船舶定线制的可行性分析 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
船舶定线制是国际上通行的实行水上船舶交通管理的一种形式,它对于规范船舶的航路,避免船舶过多交叉航行,减少船舶交通安全事故具有重要意义。文章以西江实行船舶分边通航为例,对实行船舶定线进行了可行性分析,建议通过分流和分道来防止或减少船舶发生碰撞、搁浅、触礁等水上交通事故。 相似文献
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Wayne K. Talley Tsz Leung Yip Di Jin 《Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment》2012,17(8):605-609
The study investigates determinants of vessel-accident bunker fuel spillage. A vessel-accident bunker spillage equation is estimated using Tobit regression and data of individual non-oil-cargo vessel accidents that were investigated by the US Coast Guard during 2001–2008. The results indicate that the bunker spillage of a freight ship and an offshore supply vessel accident will be greater than that of a passenger ship accident. Also, the bunker spillage of a non-oil-cargo vessel accident will be greater if the vessel accident is an abandonment and occurs at night, but less if the accident involves a vessel that has diesel propulsion and even less if the vessel has both diesel propulsion and a steel hull. 相似文献
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对流受热面管束爆管事故占工业燃油锅炉各类事故的60%以上,分析了结构设计、水质、燃料、积灰、施工等主要因素对工业燃油锅炉对流管束爆管事故产生的影响,并针对性地提出了预防工业燃油锅炉对流管束爆管事故的措施.现场运行结果表明,预防措施有效. 相似文献
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With the availability of large volumes of real-time traffic flow data along with traffic accident information, there is a renewed interest in the development of models for the real-time prediction of traffic accident risk. One challenge, however, is that the available data are usually complex, noisy, and even misleading. This raises the question of how to select the most important explanatory variables to achieve an acceptable level of accuracy for real-time traffic accident risk prediction. To address this, the present paper proposes a novel Frequent Pattern tree (FP tree) based variable selection method. The method works by first identifying all the frequent patterns in the traffic accident dataset. Next, for each frequent pattern, we introduce a new metric, herein referred to as the Relative Object Purity Ratio (ROPR). The ROPR is then used to calculate the importance score of each explanatory variable which in turn can be used for ranking and selecting the variables that contribute most to explaining the accident patterns. To demonstrate the advantages of the proposed variable selection method, the study develops two traffic accident risk prediction models, based on accident data collected on interstate highway I-64 in Virginia, namely a k-nearest neighbor model and a Bayesian network. Prior to model development, two variable selection methods are utilized: (1) the FP tree based method proposed in this paper; and (2) the random forest method, a widely used variable selection method, which is used as the base case for comparison. The results show that the FP tree based accident risk prediction models perform better than the random forest based models, regardless of the type of prediction models (i.e. k-nearest neighbor or Bayesian network), the settings of their parameters, and the types of datasets used for model training and testing. The best model found is a FP tree based Bayesian network model that can predict 61.11% of accidents while having a false alarm rate of 38.16%. These results compare very favorably with other accident prediction models reported in the literature. 相似文献
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高速公路交通事故频频发生,如果在事故发生后能及时检测事故,并采取有效的紧急救援措施,可以极大程度降低事故造成的损失,预防二次连锁事故发生。文章从事故检测、事故响应策略、事故现场管理、事故清除等方面探讨了高速公路二次交通事故的预防技术与策略。 相似文献