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《水道港口》2017,(2):143-149
为研究江苏沿海海域受双台风布拉万和天秤的影响情况,应用Holland模型与ERA背景风场数据构建双台风布拉万和天秤的模拟风场,结合MIKE SW模块进行台风浪的数值模拟试验,通过与卫星轨道数据、实测站点数据对比对模拟的有效波高进行了验证,研究了东中国海范围和江苏沿海海域的波浪场(混合浪、风浪和涌浪)特征。其中,在模拟风场的构建中,比例系数e至为关键,通过进行参数试验确定较优系数值。研究结果表明台风布拉万主要以风浪形式影响江苏沿海海域,出现的风浪最大值为10.4 m,台风天秤是以涌浪形式影响,涌浪最大值为2.4 m,且台风布拉万的影响强度明显大于台风天秤。 相似文献
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选用内域藤田外域高桥的混合风场模拟台风风场,应用第三代海浪数值模式SWAN对2013年影响南海海域的超级台风"海燕"进行台风浪的推算。通过对测点处风速以及推算出有效波高与实测数据对比,分析发现模式计算结果与实测吻合良好。同时将其应用到南海海域波浪场的推算,能够很好地刻画台风经过时波浪场在时间和空间的变化,可为以后风浪的预报提供参考。 相似文献
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《水道港口》2017,(5):470-476
利用欧洲中期天气预报中心ECMWF近38 a(1979~2016年)逐6 h的ERA-Interim全球再分析资料与该港区3 a实测数据同化后的有效波高、平均周期、平均波向和海表10 m风场资料,对Ashdod港工程区风、浪特征进行了统计分析,得出该海区常浪向和常风向均为WNW向,强浪向为WNW,强风向为ESE向,进而分析了有效波高和周期的联合分布,得出有效波高1 m,周期5 s的波浪出现概率最大。通过有效波高和风速、平均波向和风向数据的相关性分析,结果表明:冬季风浪为主导,春、夏、秋三季均是涌浪为主导。不同方向不同重现期的波要素统计分析,可为Ashdod港口建设提供科学依据,研究方法也可为类似工程借鉴。 相似文献
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采用WRF风场模式和SWAN海浪模式,分别进行渤海湾的风场和波浪场后报计算,并以波浪气象浮标实测数据对风场和波浪场进行验证,效果良好。以后报结果为样本,采用P-Ⅲ型拟合方法,对莱州湾湾口-15 m等深线处的风场与波浪进行统计分析,得到50 a一遇的设计要素值。运行MIKE21 SW模块建立潍坊港海域的波浪数值模型,进行50 a一遇重现期下的波浪浅水传播计算。模拟结果表明,该模型适用于模拟潍坊港附近海域的波浪传播过程,计算结果可为港区的码头、沙堤和航道等的设计和建设提供参考 相似文献
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Richard P. Signell Sandro Carniel Luigi Cavaleri Jacopo Chiggiato James D. Doyle Julie Pullen Mauro Sclavo 《Journal of Marine Systems》2005,53(1-4):217-233
The quality of surface winds derived from four meteorological models is assessed in the semi-enclosed Adriatic Sea over a 2-month period: a global hydrostatic model ECMWF T511 (40 km resolution), a hydrostatic limited area model LAMBO (20 km), and two non-hydrostatic limited area models: LAMI (7 km) and COAMPS™ (4 km). These wind models are used to drive a 2 km resolution wave model (SWAN) of the Adriatic, and wind and wave results are compared with observations at the ISMAR oceanographic tower off Venice. Waves are also compared at buoy locations near Ancona and Ortona. Consistently with earlier studies, the ECMWF fields underestimate the wind magnitude and do not reproduce the known spatial structure of strong wind events. The results show that the higher-resolution, limited area models LAMI and COAMPS exhibit better amplitude response than the coarser ECMWF: there is a 3- to 4-fold reduction of the wind underestimation at the platform (from 36% to 8–11%). The wave response is also improved with LAMI and COAMPS: there is a 2-fold reduction in the underestimation of wave heights at the platform. These non-hydrostatic models also produce wind fields with more realistic small-scale, spatial structure during strong wind events. The temporal correlation between observed and modelled wind, however, is highest with the global ECMWF model due to the fact that large-scale features can be predicted deterministically, whereas small-scale features can only be predicted stochastically. Models with less small-scale structure have better correlation because they have less “noise.” This explanation is supported by increased correlation between modelled and observed waves, the waves representing a smoothing of the wind over fetch and duration. Although there is room for improvement, the high-resolution, non-hydrostatic models (LAMI and COAMPS) offer significant advantages for driving oceanographic simulations in semi-enclosed basins such as the Adriatic Sea. 相似文献
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Dagmar Hainbucher Wei Hao Thomas Pohlmann Jürgen Sündermann Shizuo Feng 《Journal of Marine Systems》2004,44(3-4):153
The circulation and the hydrography of the Bohai Sea are simulated with the Hamburg Shelf Ocean Model (HAMSOM). The model is three-dimensional, prognostic baroclinic and has a resolution of 5 min in latitude and longitude and 10 layers in the vertical. It is initialised and forced with the five main tidal constituents, temperature and salinity distributions taken from the Levitus database, monthly mean river run-off values and European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF) re-analysed data of air pressure, wind stress and of those parameters relevant for the calculation of heat fluxes. The simulation period covers 14 years from 1980 to 1993 due to the availability of the time-dependent ECMWF forcing.The results are analysed by means of time series and EOFs focussing on the interpretation of fluctuations with periods above the tidal cycle. Furthermore, tracer simulations are carried out and turnover times are calculated in order to evaluate the importance of these fluctuations on the renewal and transport of water masses in the Bohai Sea.One of the major outcomes of the investigation is the overall dominance of the annual cycle in all hydrographic parameters and the importance of stochastic weather fluctuations on the transport of water masses in the Bohai Sea. 相似文献
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Manuel Gonzlez Luis Ferrer Adolfo Uriarte Agurtzane Urtizberea Ainhoa Caballero 《Journal of Marine Systems》2008,72(1-4):178
This contribution describes the procedure used during the Prestige oil-spillage event, by means of an Operational Oceanography System, and the behaviour of the present prediction tools (hydrodynamic and dispersion models) applied to it. The accuracy of these tools is estimated by a reanalysis of field data transmitted by a sea surface drifting buoy, released at the time of the oil spill. The numerical models applied were the Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS), fed by the available six-hourly NCEP atmospheric information, together with a Lagrangian Particle-Tracking Model (LPTM). ROMS has been used to estimate the current fields for the Bay of Biscay, whilst the LPTM has provided the oil spill trajectories. The results demonstrate that the accuracy of the numerical models depends upon the quality of the meteorological input data. In this case, the current fields at the sea surface, derived by ROMS, have been underestimated by the wind fields of the NCEP reanalysis data. An efficient calibration of these wind fields, with data provided by the Gascony buoy (fixed oceanic and atmospheric station), achieves more realistic looking results; this is reflected in the comparison between the buoy trajectory predicted numerically and the tracked movements of the drifting buoy. 相似文献
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Adem Akpınar Mehmet Özger Murat İhsan Kömürcü 《Journal of Marine Science and Technology》2014,19(1):1-14
Forecasting of sea-state characteristics has a great importance in coastal and ocean engineering studies. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to investigate performances of Adaptive-Network-Based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and several parametric methods in the Black Sea. For this purpose, different fuzzy models with different input combinations were developed for two different wind data sources (TSMS and ECMWF) at two offshore buoy stations. It also aimed to apply several approaches to event-based data sets for wave predictions. Generally, in literature the tendency is to use time series data for wave predictions. In this kind of prediction approach, lagged time series data are taken as inputs and current or future variables are taken as output. In this study, event-based data for each independent storm were extracted from time series data. Simultaneous or concurrent data of wind speed, blowing duration, fetch length and wave characteristics were detected for each single storm. These event data were then used to set up models. The hindcast results were validated with significant wave height and mean wave period data recorded in Hopa and Sinop buoy stations. The performance of developed fuzzy models were also compared with that of four different parametric methods (Wilson, SPM, Jonswap, and CEM methods) applied for two wind data sources at both buoy stations. Finally, it was determined that in the prediction of both wave parameters (H s and T z) the ANFIS models (R = 0.66, squared correlation coefficient, and MAE = 0.37 m, mean absolute error, for the best model in prediction of H s) were more accurate than the parametric methods (R = 0.63 and MAE = 0.75 m for the best model in prediction of H s). 相似文献
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Simulation of the oil spill processes in the Sea of Japan with regional ocean circulation model 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Sergey M. Varlamov Jong-Hwan Yoon Naoki Hirose Hideyuki Kawamura Ken Shiohara 《Journal of Marine Science and Technology》1999,4(3):94-107
A simulation of the movement of spilled oil after the incident of the Russian tanker Nakhodka in the Sea of Japan, in January 1997, was performed by a particle tracking model incorporating advection by currents, random
diffusion, the buoyancy effect, the parameterization of oil evaporation, biodegradation, and beaching. The currents advecting
spilled oil were defined by surface wind drift superposed on the three-dimensional ocean currents obtained by the Geophysical
Fluid Dynamics Laboratory modular ocean model (GFDL MOM), which was forced by the climatological monthly mean meteorological
data, or by the European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) daily meteorological data, and assimilated sea
surface topography detected by satellite altimeter. A number of experiments with different parameters and situations showed
that the wide geographical spread of oil observed is not explained by wind drift alone, and that including the simulated climatological
currents gives better results. The combination of surface wind drift and daily ocean currents shows the best agreement between
the model and observations except in some coastal areas. The daily meteorological effect on the ocean circulation model results
in a stronger variability of currents that closely simulates some features of the nonlinear large-scale horizontal turbulent
diffusion of oil. The effect of different parameterizations for the size distribution of model oil particles is discussed.
Received for publication on July 26, 1999; accepted on Nov. 17, 1999 相似文献
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利用Landsat-5/7卫星影像资料和实测含沙量资料,建立天津港—南排河岸段海域悬沙遥感模式,对表层水体悬沙分布及泥沙运动情况进行分析。研究表明,该海域含沙量均呈现从近岸至外海递减,具有明显的层次性;相对较高的含沙区域主要集中在-2m等深线以内,其表层含沙量一般在0.3kg/m3以上;沿岸线走向,含沙量的大小及分布范围总体呈现自北向南有所增大的特点;悬沙分布受季节性影响较大,冬季大风掀沙使得冬季含沙量明显大于夏季;当海域吹向岸风时近岸的含沙量要比吹顺岸风或离岸风时近岸含沙量高。 相似文献
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研究风浪、浪流和风浪流联合作用对275HP拖网渔船单船艏艉双锚锚泊时锚泊力和运动量的影响。试验结果表明,风浪作用下的锚泊力和横摇角度均大于纯浪作用的情况;流速小于1.0 m/s时浪流作用下的锚泊力大于纯浪作用的情况,而横摇角度则略小于纯浪作用的结果;风浪流联合作用下的艏艉拉力均大于风浪或浪流作用下的拉力值。由于渔船艏艉受风和受流面积的区别,导致艏拉力时流的影响较大,而艉拉力时则风的影响较大。由于流作用时渔船具有的初始横摇角度对其运动具有抑制,从而风浪流联合作用时的横摇角度要略低于风浪作用下的角度值。在本次试验范围内,当港内同时有10级左右风和小于1.0 m/s流速的流共同作用时,建议允许有效波高取0.6 m比较合适。 相似文献