邮轮综合电网负荷分类和分级方法

邮轮综合电网的负载具有连续多变的特性。从数学建模的角度出发,通过建立一系列的准则,使用模糊层次分析法对负荷重要性进行赋值量化分析。同时,针对模糊层次分析法中存在的模糊判断矩阵一致性检验和修正困难、元素权重计算繁琐的问题,引入了粒子群算法,构建了基于粒子群算法的模糊层次分析模型,并分析了模型的合理性。将模糊层次分析法与其他权重计算方法对比,结果显示:模糊层次分析法的计算结果稳定性更好、适应性更强、可靠性更高。该研究对实现邮轮综合电网负荷的有效管理,提高邮轮供电的可靠性和电能质量有显著意义。     

基于改进AHP法的邮轮生活舱室评价

针对邮轮生活舱室,首先介绍层次分析法,从舒适性、安全性、协调性、经济性和美观性5个方面构建多层次评价指标体系;然后给出各指标权重的计算方法;最后通过实例,利用模糊综合评价对某2艘邮轮同等级别生活舱室进行研究,得到评价结果.结果显示,改进的AHP法更适用于邮轮生活舱室的评价研究.     

基于AHP_熵权法的空调系统配置方案设计与选型

极地邮轮的空调系统配置方案设计和选型对其节能、环保和舒适性有重要影响,为提出系统科学的选型方法,构建包括环保性、经济性、舒适性和轻量化性能指标在内的选型评价指标体系.为某8035总吨极地邮轮空调系统设计配置方案,建立基于层次分析法(AHP)和熵权法的模糊综合评价选型方法,对不同配置方案进行综合评估和选型.结果 表明,所建立的选型评价指标体系较全面,所提出的选型方法综合考虑了选型评价指标的主客观因素,结果可靠,可用于极地邮轮空调系统配置方案的选型.选型方法为邮轮空调系统配置选型的发展提供一定的参考价值.     

基于模糊层次分析法的舰船装备承修单位承修能力评估

为了避免层次分析法中人的主观判断、偏好等对舰船装备承修单位承修能力评估结果的影响，提出了层次分析法与模糊综合评价相结合的承修能力评估方法。对舰船装备承修单位承修能力评价指标的构成、模糊层次分析方法、指标权重和隶属度的确定等进行了研究，建立了模糊层次分析评价的数学模型。并通过对5家承修单位承修能力的模糊综合评价，验证了运用模糊层次分析法进行承修能力评价的合理性与可靠性。     

基于FAHP法的造船起重机结构安全性评价研究

针对目前国内外造船起重机安全性评价方法的不足,研究基于模糊层次综合评判法(FAHP)的造船起重机金属结构安全性评价方法,采用层次分析法(AHP)确定指标权重,将模糊综合评判理论运用于起重机金属结构综合评估中。以造船门座起重机为例,建立多指标、多层次安全性评价模型,对指标状态值进行无量纲化处理,运用层次分析法确定权重值,采用模糊综合评判理论计算各层评价值,并最终得到整机金属结构安全指数,为起重机使用企业和特检部门开展工作提供参考依据。     

基于改进型模糊层次分析法的舰艇生命力评估

由于舰艇系统的复杂性,对全舰进行生命力评估需要将其分解到下一级或几级具体的子系统,通过系统生命力指标得到全舰生命力的描述。传统的模糊层次分析法(FAHP)存在两个缺陷:一方面可能导致计算结果错误;另一方面也可能造成无法计算指标权重,使模糊层次分析法的使用范围受到限制。采用一种改进的模糊层次分析法,建立三角模糊判断矩阵,确定各层次间相关因素的权重,并计算得到各子系统的权重排序。实例证明,该模型的评估结果反映了舰船系统的实际工况。根据该模型计算的评估结果,可以更好地发现舰艇生命力系统的薄弱环节,为损管决策提供科学的理论依据和方法。     

船舶风险控制方案的层次分析-模糊综合评价

针对船舶事故综合风险评估过程中风险控制措施效果的评价影响因素繁多、评价主观性和不确定性较强的问题,以层次分析法建立风险评价指标体系,确定各制约因素的权重值,利用模糊集理论建立各指标因素的隶属度矩阵和模糊综合评价矩阵,在此基础上建立船舶风险控制方案效果的层次分析-模糊综合评价模型。以普通货船碰撞事故为例,建立船舶碰撞事故层级结构,通过专家调查问卷的形式统计分析专家意见,采用层次分析-模糊综合评价模型对普通货船碰撞事故风险控制方案进行评价,算例验证该评价模型在船舶综合风险评估过程中应用的可行性和合理性。     

基于相似度原理的船舶电力推进系统仿真可信度研究

为了更好地检验船舶电力推进系统仿真的可信度,结合相似度原理和模糊综合评判方法,对船舶电力推进系统的定性与定量指标进行综合分析。将影响系统仿真的可信性因素综合起来建立评价指标体系,并依据层次分析法原理确定各指标的权重向量。针对专家所给的权重判断矩阵,进行次序一致性检验和基本一致性检验。确定子系统隶属函数。验证仿真系统可信性分析方法的可行性,并取得了较好的结果。     

高桩码头完好状态的模糊综合评估

根据高桩码头结构特点和功能特征,建立了包括指标层、准则层和目标层的多层评估模型。利用模糊综合评估将影响高桩码头安全运行的各个因素有机地结合起来,再根据经验所得到的判断矩阵,利用matlab软件编制出的层次分析法计算程序确定各个部分的权重,经过模糊运算得出高桩码头的状态评估结果。以天津港高桩码头为研究背景进行实用分析,结果表明这种方法具有一定的实际应用价值。     

基于改进层次分析法的信息安全风险评估

以智能船舶项目建设为背景,研究可能导致信息安全风险的27种因素,分别采用故障树分析法、层次分析法和改进层次分析法对典型网络环境信息安全架构进行评估.根据逻辑门原理,将故障树的基本要素和层次分析法基本要素建立联系,分别建立其判断矩阵并计算各基本要素的权重,在此基础上求得综合权重并进行排序.通过与实际环境对比,发现改进层次分析法较之另外两种方法具有更高的可靠性.通过改进层次分析法找出系统薄弱点和风险点并进行改进,可系统全面地保护关键设备和数据,将智能船岸基信息安全风险降低到可接受的水平,从根本上保证业务的连续性.     

第十二届深水操作会议和展览会(英文)

正November 4-6,2014Moody Gardens HotelConvention Center/Galveston,TX The Deepwater Operations Conference and Exhibition is celebrating its 12th anniversary this year.This growing event will continue the tradition of excellence in addressing operational challenges involved in developing deepwater resources.We will return to the Moody Gardens Hotel and Convention Center on November 5-7,2014 in Galveston,Texas.     

The 11th International Conference on Hydrodynamics (ICHD 2014)

正19–24 October 2014 SingaporeCONFERENCE THEMES The overall aim of the ICHD Conference is to provide a forum for participants from around the world to review,discuss and present the latest developments in the broad discipline of hydrodynamics and fluid mechanics.The first International Conference on Hydrodynamics(ICHD)was initiated in 1994 in Wuxi,China.Since then,9 more ICHD conferences were held subsequently in Hong Kong,Seoul,Yokohama,Tainan,Perth,Ischia,Nantes,Shanghai and St Petersburg.Evidently the ICHD conference has become an important event among academics,researchers,engineers and operators,working in the fields closely related to the science and technology of hydrodynamics.The 11th ICHD will be held in Singapore in 2014.     

33rd International Conference on Ocean,Offshore and Arctic Engineering （OMAE2014）

正San Francisco,California,June 8-13,2014.OMAE 2014 is the ideal forum for researchers,engineers,managers,technicians and students from the scientific and industrial communities from around the world to:·meet and present advances in technology and its scientific support;·to exchange ideas and experiences whilst promoting technological progress and its application in industry·to promote international cooperation in ocean,offshore and arctic engineering.In line with the tradition of excellence of previous OMAE conferences,more than 900 technical papers are planned for presentation.Outreach for Engineers Specialty Forum This Specialty Forum is designed for students and professionals who may not be familiar with the Ocean and Offshore industry,as well as those who have just recently specialized in this field.     

Catalyzing Coastal Management in Kenya and Zanzibar: Building Capacity and Commitment

Site-based projects were initiated in Chawka Bay-Paje, Zanzibar, and Nyali-Bamburi-Shanzu, Kenya, to demonstrate the benefits of an integrated coastal management (ICM) approach for addressing coastal issues such as tourism development and enhancement of resource-dependent village economies in eastern Africa. A two-year, multidonor project used three primary strategies to make rapid, but sustainable, progress toward ICM. These included using interagency government teams for ICM planning, adopting an internationally recognized framework for ICM as a project ''road map,'' and explicitly incorporating capacity-building strategies into all aspects of the project. Within two years, integrated ICM action strategies, prepared through participatory processes, were being implemented at both sites, and both teams were working to expand the scale and scope of ICM in their nation. More importantly, the project helped create committed, capable, interagency groups that continue to work together to address urgent ICM issues.     

A simplified method for reliability- and integrity-based design of engineering systems and its application to offshore mooring systems

This paper presents a simplified method for the reliability- and the integrity-based optimal design of engineering systems and its application to offshore mooring systems. The design of structural systems is transitioning from the conventional methods, which are based on factors of safety, to more advanced methods, which require calculation of the failure probability of the designed system for each project. Using factors of safety to account for the uncertainties in the capacity (strength) or demands can lead to systems with different reliabilities. This is because the number and arrangement of components in each system and the correlation of their responses could be different, which could affect the system reliability. The generic factors of safety that are specified at the component level do not account for such differences. Still, using factors of safety, as a measure of system safety, is preferred by many engineers because of the simplicity in their application. The aim of this paper is to provide a simplified method for design of engineering systems that directly involves the system annual failure probability as a measure of system safety, concerning system strength limit state. In this method, using results of conventional deterministic analysis, the optimality factors for an integrity-based optimal design are used instead of generic safety factors to assure the system safety. The optimality factors, which estimate the necessary change in average component capacities, are computed especially for each component and a target system annual probability of system failure using regression models that estimate the effect of short and long term extreme events on structural response. Because in practice, it is convenient to use the return period as a measure to quantify the likelihood of extreme events, the regression model in this paper is a relationship between the component demands and the annual probability density function corresponding to every return period. This method accounts for the uncertainties in the environmental loads and structural capacities, and identifies the target mean capacity of each component for maximizing its integrity and meeting the reliability requirement. In addition, because various failure modes in a structural system can lead to different consequences (including damage costs), a method is introduced to compute optimality factors for designated failure modes. By calculating the probability of system failure, this method can be used for risk-based decision-making that considers the failure costs and consequences. The proposed method can also be used on existing structures to identify the riskiest components as part of inspection and improvement planning. The proposed method is discussed and illustrated considering offshore mooring systems. However, the method is general and applicable also to other engineering systems. In the case study of this paper, the method is first used to quantify the reliability of a mooring system, then this design is revised to meet the DNV recommended annual probability of failure and for maximizing system integrity as well as for a designated failure mode in which the anchor chains are the first components to fail in the system.     

含裂纹钢板复合材料修补强度和刚度数值分析

用ANSYS有限元分析软件对复合材料补片修复含边裂纹和中心裂纹钢板的强度和刚度进行了数值分析.引入相对刚度的概念,研究了钻有止裂孔裂纹的长度对损伤钢板相对刚度的影响,分析了损伤钢板刚度复合材料贴片修补效果;引入屈服载荷提高率的概念,分析了损伤钢板强度的修复效果.     

舰艇反鱼雷技术

对目前舰艇反鱼雷技术中的非杀伤、软杀伤和硬杀伤等比较先进的手段进行了阐述,并在此基础上分析研究了舰艇反鱼雷技术的发展趋势。     

混凝土道路、堆场面层裂缝的产生与防治

从混凝土道路、堆场的各个结构层分析裂缝产生的原因,并针对性地说明预防措施,阐述裂缝维修方法。     

利比亚米苏拉塔市萨瓦瓦区5000套住宅项目中心区设计

从确定符合项目实际情况的设计原则入手,通过利比亚米苏拉塔市萨瓦瓦住宅区中心区总体布局和建筑设计两个方面的设计实践,探讨了"传统、现代与文脉"这一当今时代无法回避的文化议题。并且针对具有鲜明文化、宗教和气候特征的建筑设计的特点、方法与风格进行了总结,为今后的实践提供借鉴。     

Community-Based Management for Sustainable Fisheries Resources in Phang-nga Bay,Thailand

Fishing communities, the Government of Thailand Department of Fisheries, local nongovermnental organizations, universities, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), and FAO's Bay of Bengal Program have undertaken a partnership in management of Phang-nga Bay's coastal resources. It is the first project of its kind in Thailand, and although still in the early stages, offers insights that may contribute to our knowledge of how we can improve our management of coastal resources, including the importance of (1) building relationships within the governance process; (2) combining education, enforcement, and economic incentives to achieve compliance; (3) implementing solutions early; and (4) government support of community-based decisions. These insights reinforce trends emerging in other coastal management projects in the Asian region.