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作为舰艇编队作战指挥辅助决策领域研究的理论基础,指挥决策方案生成模式的研究具有极其重要的意义.以舰艇编队一体化作战需求为牵引,建立舰艇编队一体化指挥决策方案生成的相关概念体系;在分析传统指挥决策方案生成模式不足的基础上,基于复杂系统建模理论与智能辅助决策技术,构建了能满足舰艇编队一体化指挥决策方案生成特殊需求的GM_ICDS,并给出了GM_ICDS处理编队复杂战术指挥决策问题的实时优化调控原理与结构,为有效克服传统指挥决策方案生成难以适应战场态势变化的不足,构建舰艇编队一体化研讨模式综合集成作战系统提供了技术支撑. 相似文献
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现有的舰艇智能辅助决策系统在依据引导报文,计划引导中存在人工干预,使得舰艇在多目标会遇情况下存在碰撞危险。为此,设计基于人工智能的舰艇智能辅助决策系统。引用Agent智能体作为主体,通过UM2455和MC9S12NE64实现与其他Agent的交互。在硬件设计的基础上,建立决策模型,计算各决策方案综合评分,依据评分高低筛选出最佳方案,通过Agent执行,达到智能辅助决策的目的。实验结果表明,与传统的舰艇智能辅助决策系统相比,设计的基于人工智能的决策系统综合碰撞危险度为0,说明在多目标会遇情况下舰艇发生碰撞危险的概率极低。 相似文献
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根据数据包络分析的CRS、VRS、NIRS模型原理,建立评价港口企业规模效率的定量依据,并对扬州港2000-2006年的生产样本数据进行实证分析.通过扬州港各决策单元的DEA有效性和规模收益分析,对其各年份的生产情况进行评价,从而衡量扬州港的生产经营效率状况,有利于港口企业在发展中准确定位,也为港口的投资建设提供决策指导. 相似文献
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传统作战辅助决策系统很难满足现代海战的需要,基于多Agent的智能辅助决策系统是辅助决策系统新的发展方向。根据水面舰艇编队对潜作战特点,构建了基于多Agent的对潜作战智能辅助决策系统框架,分析了系统中各模块的功能,重点研究了基于案例推理的Agent推理技术在辅助决策系统中的应用。提出的智能辅助决策系统满足了现代海战对辅助决策系统的要求,具有一定的军事实用价值。 相似文献
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随着反辐射导弹( Anti-Radiation Missile,ARM)在现代信息化战争中的大量使用,ARM给地面防空系统中的雷达网及其他辐射源造成了极大威胁.为解决雷达网在复杂电磁环境背景下的抗ARM能力问题,设计了雷达网抗ARM辅助决策仿真系统.对雷达网对抗ARM机理进行了分析,阐述了雷达网抗ARM辅助决策仿真系统的组成,主要从功能设计、数据结构、流程框图和功能实现4个方面介绍了系统的实现过程.该系统的实现为雷达指挥所指挥员和作战参谋提供了雷达网抗ARM方案的辅助分析,提高了指挥所在多种战术背景下的快速反应能力和整体作战指挥能力. 相似文献
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以基于模型的企业(Model-Based Enterprise,MBE)为理论基础,采用虚拟现实技术(Virtual Reality,VR)和数据库技术,结合国内某船厂的资产管理应用实例,在三维可视化环境中开发船厂分段堆场数字资产管理系统。该系统不仅可为管理者提供统一、高效的实时动态数据查询与决策依据管理平台,还能为覆盖船厂设计、建造及运营阶段的全生命周期的业务打下技术基础。 相似文献
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Peiman Alipour Sarvari Metin Celik Alp Ustundag Bilal Ervural 《Maritime Policy and Management》2019,46(4):410-435
Planning emergency evacuation operations in a proactive manner in public marine transportation systems is a critical success factor for passenger and crew safety. Despite the fact that there is a growing attention on safety issues for marine transportation systems, providing a real-time decision support for evacuation planning under different emergency conditions has not yet been addressed. In this context, this paper contributes to the related literature by providing a comprehensive methodology including simulation and statistical analysis along with a three-module decision support system (DSS) for ferryboat emergency evacuation. Emergency evacuation and fire environment are simulated via Maritime EXODUS V5.1 and SMARTFIRE V4.3, respectively. The methodology is applied to a real-life Ro-Ro ferry, and the results not only revealed significant factors on emergency evacuation performance, but also demonstrated the validity of the developed decision support system. 相似文献
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港口枢纽集装箱运输的协调评价 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
港口枢纽集装箱运输的协调程度对该系统的发展有着很大的促进或制约作用。通过建立港口枢纽集装箱运输的协调评价指标体系和协调评价模型,找出影响系统协调的主要因素和薄弱环节,从而对港口管理部门采取有力措施进行经营决策以争取系统的最大利益,以及制定港口发展规划具有一定的指导意义。 相似文献
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Major accidental oil spills still affect ecologically and economically sensitive marine areas and shorelines, even though environmental programs and policies have led to an increase of ship safety measures. The aim of decision making during oil spill response management is to minimize pollution effects on coastal areas, once spills occur. However, limited equipments or options prevent such a globally satisfying combat strategy. Thus, often preferences between different coastal areas or uses, respectively, have to be made in an operational way. Such a management issue is here taken as a multigroup multicriteria decision-making problem involving a variety of stakeholders and natural dynamic environments. For solving such a complex problem, this article proposes a second order fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (FCE) model, which takes the influence of multiple criteria and the knowledge of different interested groups into account and further provides a basis for simulating a voting-based decision process. With the combination of oil fate simulations and FCE technique, managers are able to realize an integrated management for oil spill. Through a case study of the Prestige accident off the Spanish coast in 2002, it is demonstrated that the model provides a simple, effective and adaptable method to solve operational management problems related to complex human nature interactions as realized during oil spill management. Moreover, a series of analyses and comparisons are focused on to explore potentials and limitations of the FCE for further applications in the field of multigroup multicriteria decision making. 相似文献