基于改进极限学习机的公交站点 短时客流预测方法

以公交车IC 卡和GPS数据为基础，提出了一种基于改进粒子群算法优化极限学习机(IPSO-ELM)的公交站点短时客流预测模型.依托IC 卡和GPS 数据在站点的特征表现和内在联系，定义了站点间距，并分析了站间距和车辆到总站距离间的联系；提出了公交乘客上车站点确定方法，进而得到公交站点上车客流量；通过分析公交客流数据特征，确定ELM输入参数维度，并采用IPSO 算法找到ELM的最优隐含层节点参数；最后依托广州市19 路公交车客流数据仓库进行了方法验证.结果表明：所用优化后的ELM方法预测误差在10%以内，并与应用广泛的SVM、ARIMA和传统ELM模型进行对比分析，发现改进的ELM方法拥有更高的可靠性和泛化性能.     

适用于一票制公交大数据的系统化处理方法及应用 ——以银川市为例

为分析公交乘客出行特征，利用公交IC卡数据、公交GPS数据、车载机数据和单程站点关系表，通过各类数据关联融合，提出适用于一票制公交大数据的系统化处理方法。基于Oracle搭建分析数据库，采用Python语言编写代码，构建了乘客上车站点推断算法、基于出行链的乘客下车站点推断算法、基于概率的乘客下车站点推断算法和乘客换乘站点识别算法4种站点推断算法。基于此，运用银川公交大数据进行客流集散点识别、客流走廊识别，得到公交站点上下客流量分布情况、公交线路客流量分布情况、公交站点的换乘客流量分布情况。研究结果表明，一票制公交大数据系统化处理方法在分析公交乘客出行特征方面具有一定的应用价值。     

Predicting market potential and environmental benefits of deploying electric taxis in Nanjing,China

This paper investigates the market potential and environmental benefits of replacing internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles with battery electric vehicles (BEVs) in the taxi fleet in Nanjing, China. Vehicle trajectory data collected by onboard global positioning system (GPS) units are used to study the travel patterns of taxis. The impacts of charger power, charging infrastructure coverage, and taxi apps on the feasibility of electric taxis are quantified, considering taxi drivers’ recharging behavior and operating activities. It is found that (1) depending on the charger power and coverage, 19% (with AC Level 2 chargers and 20% charger network coverage) to 56% (with DC chargers and 100% charger network coverage) of the ICE vehicles can be replaced by electric taxis without driving pattern changes; (2) by using taxi apps to find nearby passengers and charging stations, drivers could utilize the empty cruising time to charge the battery, which may increase the acceptance of BEVs by up to 82.6% compared to the scenario without taxi apps; and (3) tailpipe emissions in urban areas could be significantly reduced with taxi electrification: a mixed taxi fleet with 46% compressed-natural-gas-powered (CNG) and 54% electricity-powered vehicles can reduce the tailpipe emissions by 48% in comparison with the fleet of 100% CNG taxis.     

Modeling time-of-day car use behavior: A Bayesian network approach

In this research, a Bayesian network (BN) approach is proposed to model the car use behavior of drivers by time of day and to analyze its relationship with driver and car characteristics. The proposed BN model can be categorized as a tree-augmented naive (TAN) Bayesian network. A latent class variable is included in this model to describe the unobserved heterogeneity of drivers. Both the structure and the parameters are learned from the dataset, which is extracted from GPS data collected in Toyota City, Japan. Based on inferences and evidence sensitivity analysis using the estimated TAN model, the effects of each single observed characteristic on car use measures are tested and found to be significant. The features of each category of the latent class are also analyzed. By testing the effect of each car use measure on every other measure, it is found that the correlations between car use measures are significant and should be considered in modeling car use behavior.     

基于GPS和GSM的清管器智能跟踪系统

为了在清管施工中实时跟踪清管器,设计一种基于GPS系统和GSM通信系统的智能清管器跟踪系统,系统包括发射机、中继器和监控系统。发射机搭载在清管器上持续发射电磁信号和静磁信号,中继器预先埋设在设定的跟踪点接收和转发通过信息;清管器通过跟踪点时,中继器接收发射机发出的信号,精确识别出清管器并将通过时间和跟踪点GPS位置信息通过GSM网络发送至监控系统;监控系统接收到信息后,在监控界面地图上实时显示通过位置和通过时间。清管器卡堵时,系统可及时在地图上指示卡堵区间和到达卡堵现场路径。现场应用表明:该系统实现了清管器智能跟踪,通过时间和通过位置记录精确,降低清管施工中安全风险,节约成本。     

基于特征子序列修正的公交刷卡滞后时间推算

针对一票制公共交通IC卡刷卡系统存在的滞后时间问题,提出基于特征子序列修正的时差匹配推算方法。依托GPS车辆到站信息序列和刷卡聚类序列,分析首末站和中途站站间运行时间分布的差异化特征,分别从两序列中提取大时间差和连续小时间差等特征子序列;利用两种子序列间一对一或一对多的对应关系分别进行初步搜索和二次修正,兼顾匹配过程的效率和精度。将推算流程应用于山西省大同市公共汽车系统,结果显示,抽样车辆的刷卡匹配率均达到99%以上,并且针对不同类型的公共汽车线路具有较强的适应性。     

Using GPS-data to determine optimum electric vehicle ranges: A Michigan case study

Fuel-switching personal transportation from gasoline to electricity offers many advantages, including lower noise, zero local air pollution, and petroleum-independence. But alleviations of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are more nuanced, due to many factors, including the car’s battery range. We use GPS-based trip data to determine use type-specific, GHG-optimized ranges. The dataset comprises 412 cars and 384,869 individual trips in Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA. We use previously developed algorithms to determine driver types, such as using the car to commute or not. Calibrating an existing life cycle GHG model to a forecast, low-carbon grid for Ann Arbor, we find that the optimum range varies not only with the drive train architecture (plugin-hybrid versus battery-only) and charging technology (fast versus slow) but also with the driver type. Across the 108 scenarios we investigated, the range that yields lowest GHG varies from 65 km (55+ year old drivers, ultrafast charging, plugin-hybrid) to 158 km (16–34 year old drivers, overnight charging, battery-only). The optimum GHG reduction that electric cars offer – here conservatively measured versus gasoline-only hybrid cars – is fairly stable, between 29% (16–34 year old drivers, overnight charging, battery-only) and 46% (commuters, ultrafast charging, plugin-hybrid). The electrification of total distances is between 66% and 86%. However, if cars do not have the optimum range, these metrics drop substantially. We conclude that matching the range to drivers’ typical trip distances, charging technology, and drivetrain is a crucial pre-requisite for electric vehicles to achieve their highest potential to reduce GHG emissions in personal transportation.     

GPS天线线型对AUV阻力和尾流场的影响

靠近艉部的GPS天线线型对AUV的阻力以及桨盘面处的伴流品质有直接影响。高品质的伴流场能有效地降低噪声并提高水动力性能。为了获得最优的GPS天线线型,以某自主式水下机器人(AUV)为母型,采用ICEM-CFD、Fluent等CFD软件,结合RANS方法和SSTκ-ω模型对搭载不同线型GPS天线的AUV进行数值计算。研究结果表明GPS天线设计前倾角可以有效降低天线的阻力,从而降低AUV受到的整体阻力。具有一定前倾角和尾端曲线的GPS天线有利于改善AUV尾部伴流特性,减小桨盘面伴流速度的不均匀度。     

Aggregating mobile object trajectories: cumulative time geographic density estimation for GPS data

We present new approaches that expand upon the time geographic density estimation (TGDE) framework previously employed to estimate potential path trees. In the past, TGDE metrics have identified possible locations an individual moving object may have passed between, given known origin and destination points. This paper utilizes a new form of TGDE to investigate taxicab GPS traces over a specified time horizon with position ‘gaps’. To this end, we propose a new extension to the TGDE framework, TGDE-C, which is used to determine the cumulative TGDE values for a group of GPS traces, at a given location. These metrics are applied to multiple taxis and allow for time of day analysis. Additionally, we combine these new extensions with existing TGDE metrics that allow us to determine how accessible individual or groups of vehicles are to urban opportunities.     

基于扩展卡尔曼滤波的GPS信号跟踪技术

提出一种基于扩展卡尔曼滤波的GPS信号跟踪方法,通过扩展卡尔曼滤波器,得到基于相干积分支路的滤波模型,有效地削弱常规GPS跟踪环路中的跟踪误差,增强接收机的抗干扰性能,提升其在信号较弱位置下环路的跟踪性能,对加入惯性信息条件下惯性信息对系统所产生的影响做了相应的分析研究。通过仿真对比结果可以知道:当处于弱信号条件时,与通常用到的GPS信号跟踪方式相比,基于扩展卡尔曼滤波的信号跟踪算法可以有效提升跟踪的精度。