基于可持续发展的城市客运交通方式分担率预测模型研究

可持续发展是人类21世纪的主题,因此在交通方式分担率预测时不仅要考虑需求,更要考虑社会经济、资源及环境。文章即基于这一思想提出了可持续发展的客运交通方式分担率宏观优化模型,在宏观控制的基础上,充分考虑影响城市客运交通结构的各因素,建立了基于距离曲线的城市客运交通方式分担率预测模型,并通过实例进行了分析验证。     

人工挖孔嵌岩桩的受力机理试验研究

根据人工挖孔嵌岩桩的静载试验资料，分析了短粗的人工挖孔嵌岩桩的承载特性和荷载传递机理。     

驾驶员动视力对交通安全的影响及检测系统的研究

本文就驾驶员动视力的好坏对行车安全的影响进行了探讨,重点分析了驾驶员事故群与无事故群动视力的差异的显著性,论述了检测驾驶员动视力的必要性。同时介绍了动视力检测仪的检测原理、仪器的结构及检测方法。该仪器可以自动地对各类人员进行动视力、动静视力和静视力的检测。     

应用线弹性疲劳损伤理论的沥青路面轴载换算

应用疲劳损伤力学基本原理,探讨了适用于沥青路面轴载换算的新方法,并对该方法拟合的公式与规范按弯沉等效推荐的当量轴载换算公式进行了比较。计算结果表明在进行沥青路面轴载换算时,采用不同的等效换算原理,将导致非标准轴载与标准轴载当量换算系数上的不同,前者较后者大。这种差异一方面直接影响沥青路面的结构厚度设计,对设计年限内累计当量标准轴载作用次数的低估,必然导致沥青路面早期破损现象的发生;另一方面揭示弯沉等效表征的是路面结构的瞬间刚度性质,代替不了路面结构的长期疲劳强度特性。     

Exploring the impact of walk–bike infrastructure,safety perception,and built-environment on active transportation mode choice: a random parameter model using New York City commuter data

This study estimates a random parameter (mixed) logit model for active transportation (walk and bicycle) choices for work trips in the New York City (using 2010–2011 Regional Household Travel Survey Data). We explored the effects of traffic safety, walk–bike network facilities, and land use attributes on walk and bicycle mode choice decision in the New York City for home-to-work commute. Applying the flexible econometric structure of random parameter models, we capture the heterogeneity in the decision making process and simulate scenarios considering improvement in walk–bike infrastructure such as sidewalk width and length of bike lane. Our results indicate that increasing sidewalk width, total length of bike lane, and proportion of protected bike lane will increase the likelihood of more people taking active transportation mode This suggests that the local authorities and planning agencies to invest more on building and maintaining the infrastructure for pedestrians. Further, improvement in traffic safety by reducing traffic crashes involving pedestrians and bicyclists, will increase the likelihood of taking active transportation modes. Our results also show positive correlation between number of non-motorized trips by the other family members and the likelihood to choose active transportation mode. The model would be an essential tool to estimate the impact of improving traffic safety and walk–bike infrastructure which will assist in investment decision making.     

国产长输管道焊接施工装备研究

近年来,长输油气管道焊接施工装备技术快速发展,大量新型管道施工装备投入管道工程现场应用,比如管道全位置自动焊机、管道管端坡口机、管道内环缝自动焊机已被分别用于管口焊接、坡口加工、管口组对。在大厚壁、高钢级、大口径管道施工中,这些设备既提高了管道施工效率,也提高了管口的焊接质量。根据实际应用情况,阐述了前述设备的结构、性能和其他技术特点,以使相关技术人员对国产管道施工装备有进一步的认识。     

A Simplified Model for the Effect of Weld-Induced Residual Stresses on the Axial Ultimate Strength of Stiffened Plates

The present work investigates the compressive axial ultimate strength of fillet-welded steel-plated ship structures subjected to uniaxial compression, in which the residual stresses in the welded plates are calculated by a thermo-elasto-plastic finite element analysis that is used to fit an idealized model of residual stress distribution. The numerical results of ultimate strength based on the simplified model of residual stress show good agreement with those of various methods including the International Association of Classification Societies (IACS) Common Structural Rules (CSR), leading to the conclusion that the simplified model can be effectively used to represent the distribution of residual stresses in steel-plated structures in a wide range of engineering applications. It is concluded that the widths of the tension zones in the welded plates have a quasi-linear behavior with respect to the plate slenderness. The effect of residual stress on the axial strength of the stiffened plate is analyzed and discussed.     

地铁项目节能措施及效果研究

随着城市轨道交通的大力发展,对于其节能措施和效果的研究意义十分重要,需要采取合理的节能措施降低项目能耗.本文对地铁项目车辆、线路、行车组织、供电、照明、房屋建筑、空调、电扶梯、给排水等专业采取的节能技术措施进行了分析;测算了采用线路节能坡、再生制动系统、变频调速自动扶梯、智能照明控制系统、LED照明、非晶合金变压器等节能技术措施后相应的节能量;同时介绍了该项目的节能管理措施.项目采取节能措施后,各能耗指标均有所下降,初、近、远期年节能率分别为12.5％、11.3％、10.6％.项目建成通车后将减少沿线交通出行总能耗.     

A stochastic model of traffic flow: Theoretical foundations

In a variety of applications of traffic flow, including traffic simulation, real-time estimation and prediction, one requires a probabilistic model of traffic flow. The usual approach to constructing such models involves the addition of random noise terms to deterministic equations, which could lead to negative traffic densities and mean dynamics that are inconsistent with the original deterministic dynamics. This paper offers a new stochastic model of traffic flow that addresses these issues. The source of randomness in the proposed model is the uncertainty inherent in driver gap choice, which is represented by random state dependent vehicle time headways. A wide range of time headway distributions is allowed. From the random time headways, counting processes are defined, which represent cumulative flows across cell boundaries in a discrete space and continuous time conservation framework. We show that our construction implicitly ensures non-negativity of traffic densities and that the fluid limit of the stochastic model is consistent with cell transmission model (CTM) based deterministic dynamics.     

浅谈新常态下海员的现状与可持续发展

海员是我国从海洋大国向海洋强国转变的中流砥柱,他们为发展国民经济、保证航运安全和扩大对外开放做出了巨大的贡献。但是从当前形势来分析,我国对海员的教育培训力度和关怀力度却远远跟不上海洋经济的发展。文中主要指出我国海员目前所面临的发展现状,结合国外海员的发展模式及可吸取的经验,对我国海员的可持续发展做出较为全面的策略探讨。