Experimental design influences on stated choice outputs: An empirical study in air travel choice

Discrete choice experiments are conducted in the transport field to obtain data for investigating travel behaviour and derived measures such as the value of travel time savings. The multinomial logit (MNL) and other more advanced discrete choice models (e.g., the mixed MNL model) have often been estimated on data from stated choice experiments and applied for planning and policy purposes. Determining efficient underlying experimental designs for these studies has become an increasingly important stream of research, in which the objective is to generate stated choice tasks that maximize the collected information, yielding more reliable parameter estimates. These theoretical advances have not been rigorously tested in practice, such that claims on whether the theoretical efficiency gains translate into practice cannot be made. Using an extensive empirical study of air travel choice behaviour, this paper presents for the first time results of different stated choice experimental design approaches, in which respective estimation results are compared. We show that D-efficient designs keep their promise in lowering standard errors in estimating, thereby requiring smaller sample sizes, ceteris paribus, compared to a more traditional orthogonal design. The parameter estimates found using an orthogonal design or an efficient design turn out to be statistically different in several cases, mainly attributed to more or less dominant alternatives existing in the orthogonal design. Furthermore, we found that small designs with a limited number of choice tasks performs just as good (or even better) than a large design. Finally, we show that theoretically predicted sample sizes using the so-called S-estimates provide a good lower bound. This paper will enable practitioners in better understanding the potential benefits of efficient designs, and enables policy makers to make decisions based on more reliable parameter estimates.     

Carpooling and carpool clubs: Clarifying concepts and assessing value enhancement possibilities through a Stated Preference web survey in Lisbon, Portugal

The increase of urban traffic congestion calls for studying alternative measures for mobility management, and one of these measures is carpooling. In theory, these systems could lead to great reductions in the use of private vehicles; however, in practice they have obtained limited success for two main reasons: the psychological barriers associated with riding with strangers and poor schedule flexibility. To overcome some of the limitations of the traditional schemes, we proposed studying a carpooling club model with two main new features: establishing a base trust level for carpoolers to find compatible matches for traditional groups and at the same time allowing to search for a ride in an alternative group when the pool member has a trip schedule different from the usual one. A web-based survey was developed for the Lisbon Metropolitan Region (Portugal), including a Stated Preference experiment, to test the concept and confirm previous knowledge on these systems’ determinants. It was found through a binary logit Discrete Choice Model calibration that carpooling is still attached with lower income strata and that saving money is still an important reason for participating in it. The club itself does not show promise introducing more flexibility in these systems; however, it should provide a way for persons to interact and trust each other at least to the level of working colleagues.     

贵州省公路隧道渗漏水调查及统计分析

文章通过对贵州省崇尊高速、清镇高速、镇胜高速等46座隧道渗漏水情况的调查分析,分别从渗漏形式、渗漏状态、渗漏部位等方面总结出了贵州省分离式隧道及连拱隧道的渗漏特点:分离式隧道,84%的渗漏状态为渗水,91%的渗漏形式为线渗漏,61%的渗漏位于边墙;连拱隧道,96%的渗漏状态为渗水,94%的渗漏形式为线渗漏,80%的渗漏位于中隔墙。最后,结合实地调查的渗漏水状况详细地分析了渗漏水病害产生的主要原因。     

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城市公共交通乘客出行成本的量化研究,对于科学合理地评价公共交通系统的社会效益意义重大,而出行时间价值是进行乘客出行成本估计的一个重要环节. 本文以北京市市区居民SP调查数据为依托,通过分析公共交通出行时间价值的影响因素,选取Logit模型为基础模型,引入“出行者收入”作为模型新增变量,并针对工作商务、社会娱乐两种出行目的在不同换乘情况下出行时间价值模型进行参数标定,建立了基于SP调查数据的改进型时间价值求解模型,并计算得到北京市公共交通出行者在不同出行目的和有无换乘情况下的换乘时间价值、候车时间价值以及运行时间价值. 研究发现,工作商务出行目的出行时间价值普遍高于社会娱乐的出行时间价值,出行者在不同出行目的和有无换乘情况下的候车时间价值,大于换乘时间价值以及运行时间价值,并且有换乘情况下的候车时间价值大于无换乘情况下的候车时间价值.     

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小学生通学出行是城市居民出行的重要组成部分．随着城市化和机动化进程的加快,小汽车迅速进入家庭,利用私人小汽车接送学生上下学的比例逐渐增加,上下学期间学校周边交通拥堵现象严重,学生通学出行安全问题也日益突出．本文以北京市中关村地区三所小学为研究对象,对这三所小学进行了大规模摸底调查,以问卷形式调查了学生的居住地分布、交通出行结构、出行距离以及学生家长对乘坐校车的意见及意愿等,并对调查结果进行了具体分析．结果表明,学生家长对于开通校车的需求较大,且校车运营的正规性、安全性是吸引其选择校车接送的最主要因素．最后,从运营模式、线路规划、法律保障、交通管理、安全宣传等方面,提出了小学开行校车的几点建议．     

江城居民茶叶消费心理与行为调查分析

本文采用问卷调查的方式,对武汉居民在茶叶购买动机、购买行为和购后的满意度等方面进行了分析,总结了江城茶叶市场的消费特点和消费趋势,为茶叶生产经营者提供参考。     

连云港港疏港航道整治工程测量控制体系的设计与运用

连云港港疏港航道投资数额大,涉及项目多,对工程测量控制体系有更高的要求。本文从测量管理制度的建立,控制网的建立和复核以及测量管理控制措施等方面入手,全面阐述了建设单位、施工单位、监理单位在工程测量管理体系中的职责,明确了疏港航道整治工程测量管理工作内容和控制措施。     

小学生上下学出行特征分析与管理策略

小学生上下学交通是城市居民出行的重要组成部分,由于家长接送学生时私人小汽车的停放以及机非混合,严重影响了学校门口的交通运行。以小学生上下学出行为研究对象,结合某小学的分层抽样OD调查数据,研究小学生上下学出行方式,并与美国小学生的出行方式进行对比;采集学校所在路段的交通量,绘制12 h交通量时变曲线,与无学校影响的、类似路段的交通量时变曲线进行对比,揭示学校所在路段交通量波动特征和上下学出行结构特征。在出行结构分析和交通量分析基础上,从出行结构和供需关系两方面提出改善小学生上下学交通的管理策略。     

GPS-RTK技术在滨海公路测量中的应用

RTK技术,是GPS测量技术与数据传输技术的结合,是GPS测量技术中的一个新突破。以盘锦滨海公路为实例介绍了RTK技术在公路测量中的应用。     

卫星图像辅助测绘技术在港口工程地形测量中的应用

随着卫星遥感技术的不断发展,卫星图像的精度和清晰度越来越高,利用公用卫星图像辅助测绘小比例尺地形图成为可能.以某港口工程项目为例,研究利用卫星图像辅助测绘技术绘制小比例尺地形图的方法,探讨其具体操作流程和主要技术问题,提出相关实用性建议.