Estimating traffic volumes for signalized intersections using connected vehicle data

Recently connected vehicle (CV) technology has received significant attention thanks to active pilot deployments supported by the US Department of Transportation (USDOT). At signalized intersections, CVs may serve as mobile sensors, providing opportunities of reducing dependencies on conventional vehicle detectors for signal operation. However, most of the existing studies mainly focus on scenarios that penetration rates of CVs reach certain level, e.g., 25%, which may not be feasible in the near future. How to utilize data from a small number of CVs to improve traffic signal operation remains an open question. In this work, we develop an approach to estimate traffic volume, a key input to many signal optimization algorithms, using GPS trajectory data from CV or navigation devices under low market penetration rates. To estimate traffic volumes, we model vehicle arrivals at signalized intersections as a time-dependent Poisson process, which can account for signal coordination. The estimation problem is formulated as a maximum likelihood problem given multiple observed trajectories from CVs approaching to the intersection. An expectation maximization (EM) procedure is derived to solve the estimation problem. Two case studies were conducted to validate our estimation algorithm. One uses the CV data from the Safety Pilot Model Deployment (SPMD) project, in which around 2800 CVs were deployed in the City of Ann Arbor, MI. The other uses vehicle trajectory data from users of a commercial navigation service in China. Mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of the estimation is found to be 9–12%, based on benchmark data manually collected and data from loop detectors. Considering the existing scale of CV deployments, the proposed approach could be of significant help to traffic management agencies for evaluating and operating traffic signals, paving the way of using CVs for detector-free signal operation in the future.     

仿生水草垫在航道整治护滩工程中的应用

针对三峡水库蓄水后,来沙量大幅减少的实际情况,在长江中游荆江窑监河段新河口边滩护滩工程缓流区,开展了仿柔性植被水草垫促淤结构现场试验,取得了较好的工程效果。对水草垫促淤结构的设计思路、构件设计、促淤机理和施工工艺进行阐述,并对工程效果进行分析。该结构丰富了航道整治工程促淤结构形式。     

宽浅河道低水头水电枢纽口门区通航水流条件研究

根据重力相似准则,采用比尺为1∶100的整体模型,进行某宽浅河道低水头水电枢纽口门区的通航安全性研究。采用ADV三维流速测量系统进行流速测量;采用标准矩形量水堰控制模型流量;采用差动式尾门调节模型水位。由于河道地形及枢纽布置的原因,上游口门区流速过大,下游口门区形成大范围回流。通过扩大河道过流面积,移除下游河道中心连续小岛,增加闸孔等措施,减小下泄水流流速,改善河道整体水流状态;通过加长导航墙,改变导航墙透水面积,优化口门区域地形等措施极大地改善了船闸上下游引航道及口门区通航水流条件,确保过闸船舶的安全。     

BIM技术在清华珠三角公建项目施工中的应用研究

随着科技的进步及项目管理水平的提高,BIM技术应运而生。本文以清华珠三角研究院粤港澳大湾区创新基地项目为依托,从应用目标、应用前准备工作、前期策划管理、技术管理、质量安全管理、物资设备管理、进度管理、经济成本管理等方面开展BIM技术在公建项目施工中的应用研究,结果表明:使用BIM技术,使项目管理走向精细化、全面化、高效化,并提高质量标准,增加安全保障,减少项目成本,提高项目利润率;同时与AI技术相结合,使BIM技术更加具有简便性,产出更大效益。     

管道输煤工程中煤浆沉降特性的应用分析

文中对煤浆沉降特性进行了详细分析,结论表明质量分数和粒度是影响煤浆颗粒沉降速度的主要因素。然后,从煤浆沉降特性角度出发,总结了管道输煤工程中煤浆制备、筛检超粗颗粒、煤浆储存、长距离管道输送以及终端脱水等环节需采取的相应措施及要求,为煤浆输送管道安全、经济、可靠地运行提供参考。     

The value of options for time charterparty extension: an artificial neural networks (ANN) approach

The most frequently associated options in the physical shipping market are options to extend the charter period on time charters and additional shipment options on contracts of affreightment. The value of freight options, in practice, is estimated mostly by referring to forward curves. An option on freight has different properties from its financial counterparts, and the straightforward adoption of theoretical models does not produce promising results. In this paper, extension options, which have the property of options on futures, were transformed into regular European options before the application of the Black-Scholes model (BSM). The efficient market hypothesis, which justifies the parity of the performance of a long-term charter to that of repetitive short-term charters, worked as the basis for the transformation. The option values determined by the BSM were compared with actual realized values. Additionally, the artificial neural networks (ANN) was employed to derive the option values. This study is meaningful as the first-time application of both the closed-form solution and the ANN to the valuation of physical freight options. The research results can contribute to the quality of chartering decisions. The results could also be used in quantifying credit risk, as extension options tend to be granted to charterers with more creditability.     

高等级公路监理工程项目管理综述

监理是一个项目管理的系统工程,有着严格的制度和程序,有助于有效控制工程的进度、质量和费用,实时监测发现施工过程中的问题,第一时间进行反馈,保证路面施工质量,对后续路面开放运营的质量具有明显作用.     

柳南高速公路改扩建工程设计方案探讨

文章结合柳州至南宁高速公路改扩建工程项目情况,分析了该改扩建项目的技术难点和重点,阐述了改扩建工程设计的总体思路,并提出了相应的改扩建工程设计方案。     

铁路工程建设通用参考图《混凝土拌和站》内容要点及应用解析

混凝土拌和站是铁路建设中数量最多的大临工程之一,规划与设计是其建设的基础工作,为实现混凝土拌和站建设的规范化和标准化设计,中铁第五勘察设计院集团有限公司主持编制铁路工程建设通用参考图《混凝土拌和站》〔通临(2012)8401〕。结合相关科研课成果和工程设计实践,对通用参考图《混凝土拌和站》的编制原则、设计参数、主要内容、适用范围及注意事项进行论述,以求更好地对通用参考图宣贯和释义。     

基于物元分析法的公路桥梁损伤等级评定研究

在构建桥梁损伤等级评定指标体系的基础上，采用 AHP确定了各指标的权重，运用物元分析的方法建立了桥梁损伤等级评定的数学模型，并利用模型评定结果，得到了某桥梁的损伤等级。