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提出了一种应用于智能交通监控系统的运动目标识别和跟踪方法。针对帧间差分提取运动目标的缺陷与不足,提出了一种基于冗余小波变换的运动目标识别算法,即直接在冗余小波变换域提取运动区域,从而检测出运动目标。对于检测出来的运动目标,本文对mean-shift算法进行了改进,采用自适应mean-shift算法,对目标进行跟踪。实验结果表明,本文提出的算法可以有效地提取运动目标,即使目标与背景具有较高的相似度,也可以较准确的提取出前景运动信息,效果要好于传统的帧差法;跟踪目标准确度高,不受目标大小变化的影响。本算法具较高的实用价值和应用前景。     

古夫隧道软弱围岩普通型机械化配套试验性施工技术

为提高隧道软弱围岩施工安全性和加快施工进度,依托古夫隧道出口段工程,首先通过超前地质预报、监控量测、应力应变测试等判断围岩及掌子面稳定性; 然后通过超前支护、低预应力涨壳式锚杆加固围岩,提高围岩自稳能力; 最后采用普通型机械化配套大断面法施工,对围岩的拱顶沉降、周边收敛、应力应变等进行监测,通过数据分析结果指导现场施工。研究结果表明： 1)隧道软弱围岩普通型机械化配套试验性施工技术可以有效地加快施工进度,保证施工安全; 2)信息化管理可以通过数据分析结果指导现场施工,大大提升隧道施工的管理水平。     

基于模糊神经网络的智能车辆循迹控制

为提高智能车辆自主循迹控制的精度,提出了一种基于模糊神经网络控制( FNNC)和神经网络预测( NNP)的智能循迹控制策略。转向控制器的输入量有3个：预瞄点处的横向循迹误差、汽车横摆角速度和侧向加速度。车速控制器的输入量有4个：预瞄点处的面积误差、侧向加速度、汽车侧偏角和转向盘转角。网络训练采用误差反向传播法。仿真与试验结果表明,所设计的循迹控制器通过对驾驶员操作样本的训练,能实现对车辆的车速与转向控制,横向循迹误差和目标车速均比较理想。     

基于序列影像种子跟踪的道路线自动提取算法

为快速建立道路精确的几何模型,利用车载移动测量系统获取的序列影像开展了道路边线自动提取方法研究.针对不同类型道路边线的特征,提出了一种基于序列影像种子跟踪的道路线自动算法.首先,对不同质量道路影像分别采用基于灰度信息和梯度信息的道路边线边缘检测方法;其次,采用线性回归模型拟合道路边线,以当前帧拟合直线为种子点,提出了基于种子直线的序列影像感兴趣预测方法,在此基础上对下一帧影像道路边线进行跟踪;最后,以高速公路和城市街区道路序列影像为例,开展了道路边线自动跟踪提取试验,结果表明此方法可以达到优于20 cm的精度,具有很好的鲁棒性.     

综合超前地质预报在小坪子隧洞中的运用研究

研究目的：研究如何在施工过程中对隧洞掌子面前方的地质条件进行预报，减少地质灾害的发生。研究方法：在超前地质预报的宏观预报、长期预报、短期预报、临近警报等不同阶段，以地质理论为基础，综合运用地质方法、地球物理勘探方法、钻探方法，结合实践经验进行研究。研究结果：得出了地质预报的阶段性和不同阶段的预报方法，提出了地质超前预报体系各方法的相互关系，得出了实施超前地质预报应采用的步骤、方法及实施时应注意的问题。研究结论：深埋长大隧洞施工过程中的地质预报，只有采取地质理论的、地球物理的、钻探的等综合的方法，并且按宏观的、长期的、短期的、临近的思路进行才能取得好的效果。     

基于"当前"统计模型的机动目标运动要素解算

在避碰过程中,舰船一般处于机动状态.因而,对机动目标运动要素解算的精度直接影响到避碰的效果.通过对多种模型的比较,选用了"当前"统计模型,"当前"统计模型相对于其他模型能够更为真实地反映目标的机动变化.仿真结果表明,此算法收敛迅速并有较高精度,其解算所得的目标运动要素能够满足舰船避碰等实用要求.     

机动目标跟踪典型算法评述

机动目标跟踪算法可以划分为两种：极大似然法和贝叶斯估计法，前者通过对目标量测序列的分析，采用与当前目标运动模式匹配度最高（极大似然性）的模型（包括系统模型和观测模型）对目标状态进行跟踪和估计；后者则首先假定一组模型，再根据量测序列进一步估计出其中每个模型的匹配概率，最后采用贝叶斯公式对全部或部分模型估计进行综合。在此框架下，论文对其中的一些典型算法进行总结和分析。     

神经网络在多目标分布式融合中的应用研究

提出了适合分布式多传感器多目标(MSMT)数据融合估计算法，对这种推广的分层融合估计算法进行了数学推导和描述，研究了利用神经网络进行MSMT跟踪融合的网络结构和算法，进行了计算机模拟仿真。仿真结果表明神经网络融合估计可提高跟踪精度，并且这种融合方法是有效的。     

1/32° real-time global ocean prediction and value-added over 1/16° resolution

A 1/32° global ocean nowcast/forecast system has been developed by the Naval Research Laboratory at the Stennis Space Center. It started running at the Naval Oceanographic Office in near real-time on 1 Nov. 2003 and has been running daily in real-time since 1 Mar. 2005. It became an operational system on 6 March 2006, replacing the existing 1/16° system which ceased operation on 12 March 2006. Both systems use the NRL Layered Ocean Model (NLOM) with assimilation of sea surface height from satellite altimeters and sea surface temperature from multi-channel satellite infrared radiometers. Real-time and archived results are available online at http://www.ocean.nrlssc.navy.mil/global_nlom. The 1/32° system has improvements over the earlier system that can be grouped into two categories: (1) better resolution and representation of dynamical processes and (2) design modifications. The design modifications are the result of accrued knowledge since the development of the earlier 1/16° system. The improved horizontal resolution of the 1/32° system has significant dynamical benefits which increase the ability of the model to accurately nowcast and skillfully forecast. At the finer resolution, current pathways and their transports become more accurate, the sea surface height (SSH) variability increases and becomes more realistic and even the global ocean circulation experiences some changes (including inter-basin exchange). These improvements make the 1/32° system a better dynamical interpolator of assimilated satellite altimeter track data, using a one-day model forecast as the first guess. The result is quantitatively more accurate nowcasts, as is illustrated by several model-data comparisons. Based on comparisons with ocean color imagery in the northwestern Arabian Sea and the Gulf of Oman, the 1/32° system has even demonstrated the ability to map small eddies, 25–75 km in diameter, with 70% reliability and a median eddy center location error of 22.5 km, a surprising and unanticipated result from assimilation of altimeter track data. For all of the eddies (50% small eddies), the reliability was 80% and the median eddy center location error was 29 km. The 1/32° system also exhibits improved forecast skill in relation to the 1/16° system. This is due to (a) a more accurate initial condition for the forecast and (b) better resolution and representation of critical dynamical processes (such as upper ocean – topographic coupling via mesoscale flow instabilities) which allow the model to more accurately evolve these features in time while running in forecast mode (forecast atmospheric forcing for the first 5 days, then gradually reverting toward climatology for the remainder of the 30-day forecast period). At 1/32° resolution, forecast SSH generally compares better with unassimilated observations and the anomaly correlation of the forecast SSH exceeds that from persistence by a larger amount than found in the 1/16° system.     

水文资料分析预测初探

水文资料在各阶段的使用当中越来越被重视,其合理性和真实性也是越来越严格。本文在分析水文资料实行一算二校、分局审查、省局汇审等环节的可靠性基础上,通过各阶段的错误率建立一灰色预测模型,提出了各阶段可控的错误率白化值及预测值,为科学、客观地评估各阶段水文资料校审质量提供了理论依据。