The cost of not holding back the sea: Toward a national sample of economic vulnerability

Abstract

National and regional estimates of U.S. economic vulnerability to greenhouse‐induced sea‐level rise are produced from a sample of 30 discrete regions scattered evenly along the coastline. Scenarios that envision 50 cm, 100 cm, and 200 cm of greenhouse‐induced sea‐level rise are considered. They can be expected to place $39.2, $65.6, and $133.3 billion, respectively, (1989 dollars) of existing development in jeopardy through 2050, and $133.3, $308.7, and $909.4 billion through 2100. Sampling error and consideration of the uncertainty with which we currently view future greenhouse‐induced sea‐level rise places the 25th and 75th percentile values of expected cumulative vulnerability at $38.5 and $76.7 billion through 2050 and $132.6 and $362.4 billion through 2100. Not surprisingly, the southeast displays the largest potential vulnerability, with the northeast ranking second above both the Gulf coast and the west coast.     

港口铁路道口有关问题的探讨

传统铁路道口难以适应当前的运营条件 ,而新型铁路道口在实际应用中取得了较好效果     

面向高速铁路的CTCS+ATO列控系统研究

为提高高速铁路运输效率和自动化程度,根据珠三角城际铁路CTCS2+ATO列控系统的运用经验,提出高速铁路引入自动驾驶(ATO)的方案。方案采用CTCS+ATO系统结构,根据系统配置分为CTCS+ATO-PFC(Partial Function Configuration)和CTCS+ATO-FFC(Full Function Configuration)两个等级。分别对每个等级的系统功能、地面和车载设备配置进行定义,并提出系统分级实施方案。CTCS+ATO列控系统方案综合考虑我国列控系统的现状和发展方向,为我国高速铁路引入自动驾驶提供参考依据。     

广西南梧公路苍梧县林水段通行能力研究

文章对南梧公路苍梧县林水段通行能力和服务水平进行了研究和比较,介绍了通行能力计算公式和参数选取过程,论证了该路段的通行能力可以满足2020年前的交通需求,并提出了提高现有公路通行能力的方法和建议。     

船舶动力装置与设备油液监测技术应用研究

随着船舶维修制度的变革,油液监控技术逐渐应用于船舶领域,成为机械状态监控应用研究领域比较活跃的一个分支,文章主要阐述油液监控技术在船舶中的应用。     

大型综合交通枢纽指路标志系统设置研究

城市大型综合交通枢纽由于其功能多样,辐射广泛,周边路网复杂,因此对其指路标志系统需要专门设计。文章以上海市虹桥综合交通枢纽指路标志系统为研究对象,从路网结构及交通流特性出发,将指路标志系统按出行者需求层次分为四级,并提出相应的指路标志设置原则及方法,供相关部门参考。     

Wave and sea level monitoring and prediction in the service module of the Global Ocean Observing System (GOOS)

The need for a Global Ocean Observing System Global (GOOS) is now widely appreciated. Parts of GOOS are currently being implemented already. In this paper, written on the request of the joint Scientific and Technical Committee of GOOS, we present some of the scientific issues that need to be addressed for the further development of the Ocean and Marine Meteorology Service module of GOOS. This module is concerned with monitoring and prediction of sea level (both tsunamis and storm surges) and wind driven waves (wind–sea and swell), among other things. For each of these we discuss the current state-of-the-art, indicate what observations are needed and make suggestions for future modelling development.     

浮筏隔振系统隔振效果有限元估算方法

针对船用浮筏隔振系统,基于有限元法建立了一种浮筏隔振系统的有限元模型,采用振级落差方法估算了浮筏隔振系统的隔振效果,并与试验结果进行了对比,振级落差理论估算与实测值基本一致,在一定精度范围内能满足工程要求.     

Benthic community and food web structure on the continental shelf of the Bay of Biscay (North Eastern Atlantic) revealed by stable isotopes analysis

The North Bay of Biscay continental shelf is a major French demersal fishery, but little was known on the trophic food web of its benthic communities. In order to determine the benthic trophic web, the objectives of this study are to describe the macro- and megafaunal benthic community structure (species richness, abundance and biomass) and to establish the trophic pathways (food sources and trophic levels) by applying carbon and nitrogen stable isotopic analysis to the main benthic and demersal species (invertebrates and fish). Two distinct benthic communities have been identified: a muddy sand community within the central part of the bay, and an outer Bay of Biscay Ditrupa sand community of higher species richness, abundance and biomass than the muddy sand community. Deposit-feeders, suspension feeders and predators, distributed in three main trophic levels, dominate both communities. Large differences in stable carbon ratio values within the primary consumers provide evidence of two different food sources: i) a pelagic food source made up of recent sedimenting particulate organic matter on which zooplankton and suprabenthos feed and ii) a benthic detrital food source supplying deposit feeders and partly benthic suspension feeders. Differences in isotopic signatures were also observed within the upper trophic levels that allowed estimation of the contribution of each food source component to the diet of the upper consumers. Finally, the use of stable isotopic composition together with the species' feeding strategy allow identification of the main differences between the trophic functioning of the two benthic communities and highlight the importance of the role of detrital pathways in the carbon cycling within the continental shelf benthic trophic web.     

基于GSM-R的铁路平交道口管理信息系统的研究

GSM-R在我国铁路通信中的成功应用,解决了铁路传统通信系统不能解决的地、车数据传输问题,为我国道口防护信息化奠定了坚实的基础。为实现铁路平交道口安全防护的信息化,研究基于GSM-R网络上层应用分支的铁路平交道口管理信息系统是非常必要的。该系统应由“信息采集及系统管理”、“道口调度指挥和应急指挥”、“综合信息发布”3大功能单元构成,实现列车信息和道口信息的实时交换,以及道口信息在较大范围内的共享,以改善道口交通组织和提高道口防护的科技水平。