Robust network pricing and system optimization under combined long-term stochasticity and elasticity of travel demand

Network pricing serves as an instrument for congestion management, however, agencies and planners often encounter problems of estimating appropriate toll prices. Tolls are commonly estimated for a single-point deterministic travel demand, which may lead to imperfect policy decisions due to inherent uncertainties in future travel demand. Previous research has addressed the issue of demand uncertainty in the pricing context, but the elastic nature of demand along with its uncertainty has not been explicitly considered. Similarly, interactions between elasticity and uncertainty of demand have not been characterized. This study addresses these gaps and proposes a framework to estimate nearest optimal first-best tolls under long-term stochasticity in elastic demand. We show first that the optimal tolls under the deterministic-elastic and stochastic-elastic demand cases coincide when cost and demand functions are linear, and the set of equilibrium paths is constant. These assumptions are restrictive, so three larger networks are considered numerically, and the subsequent pricing decisions are assessed. The results of the numerical experiments suggest that in many cases, optimal pricing decisions under the combined stochastic-elastic demand scenario resemble those when demand is known exactly. The applications in this study thus suggest that inclusion of demand elasticity offsets the need of considering future demand uncertainties for first-best congestion pricing frameworks.     

Trace metals in water, sediments and marine organisms from the northern part of the Gulf of Suez, Red Sea

Concentrations of Cd, Pb, Cu and Zn were determined in water, sediments, gastropod (Bulla umpulla) and green algae (Ulva lactuca) collected from five stations in the western side of the northern part of the Gulf of Suez during the period February 1993–January 1994. Sediments recorded the highest concentrations of Cd (2.26–4.40 μg/g) and Pb (13.90–28.34 μg/g), While the highest concentrations of the essential metals Cu and Zn were found in B. umpulla (28.19–72.04 and 60.24–108.74 μg/g, respectively). Water and sediments showed similar spatial distribution patterns for the highest mean values of the different metals. Highest values of the studied metals were found at stations influenced by various pollution sources such as harbours, and sewage and industrial drains. In contrast, the lowest concentrations were observed faraway from any pollution source. Calculations of concentration factors (C.F.) for gastropod and algae showed highest C.F. of Cd (4312.5–8705.9) and Pb (2103.3–8317.9) in algae, and highest C.F. of Cu (5288.9–42376.5) and Zn (3686.7–9631.5) in gastropod.     

Applying the theory of reasoned action to understanding consumers’ intention to adopt hybrid electric vehicles in Saudi Arabia

To satisfy the global energy demand while accommodating the rapidly increasing consumption rate in its domestic market, Saudi Arabia must develop and implement fuel efficiency programs in many sectors. In the transportation sector, which is a major contributor to fuel consumption and emissions, hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs) could provide a viable solution, but they are not yet available in the Saudi market. Applying the theory of reasoned action (TRA) and an online questionnaire instrument (N = 847), this paper aims to identify the factors that could drive Saudi citizens’ intention to adopt such technology. We find that the TRA is appropriate to describe intention to adopt HEVs in the Saudi context, and that both subjective norms and attitudes are significant in explaining Saudi consumers’ intention, with subjective norms having three times as strong an effect as attitudes. The findings should be useful to relevant Saudi government officials as they develop and implement transportation-related initiatives and policies, as well as to global auto manufacturers and dealers seeking to tap into Saudi Arabia’s prospective HEV market.

     

The relationship between urban street networks and private motorized trips at the city level

There are factors that impact car usage in urban areas, such as density, diversity and design, but there have been few studies that examine the relationship between street network factors and car usage at the city level (macro level). This paper focuses on this relationship by introducing urban street network variables, such as blocks per area, nodes per block and length of roads and motorways, as independent variables and the percentage of daily trips by private motorized modes as the dependent variable. The street network in this study includes interconnecting lines and points that present streets, roads, motorways, intersections and blocks. The strength of the relationship in this study is found using multiple linear regression. The findings of this research indicate that an increase in car usage is correlated with an increasing number of blocks per area, number of nodes per block and length of motorways. In addition, because the urban street network is the result of macro-scale planning decisions, considering this relationship can lead to better planning decisions.     

尼泊尔喜马拉雅地区塔玛科什3级水电工程——穿越软弱构造片岩修建隧洞所面临的挑战

由于尼泊尔喜马拉雅地区岩石强度较低,水平应力较高,因此在该软弱构造片岩带中开挖隧洞具有较大的挑战性.文章主要阐述装机容量为650 kW的塔玛科什3级水电工程17km长大跨度隧洞和大型地下发电厂房(这两项工程计划穿越夹杂有软弱构造片岩带的坚硬眼球状片麻岩区域)所面临的重大技术挑战.穿过片岩带开挖的隧洞长度约占总长的15％,由于此岩层带岩石强度较低,具有剪切特性和渗流现象,且水平应力较高,围岩挤压和隧洞塌方都是可预期的问题,因此该工程地下开挖主要关注的问题是大尺寸隧洞的可施工性和工期.为了解决可预期问题,进行了更进一步的研究,主要集中在隧洞最大可建尺寸、方位、减少围岩挤压的开挖方法,以及地下发电厂房稳定性和合理岩石支护设计上.研究发现,在构造片岩带中可施工的全断面隧洞最大尺寸可达9m,为改进的马蹄形(有弧形仰拱).通过对隧洞三种不同方位方案(即正交、斜交、平行)的分析发现,与叶理面正交的方案最佳,可减少围岩挤压近50％.     

渔船非线性横摇理论研究分析

为讨论船舶在波浪中的非线性横摇,应用非线性动力学的方法对现象进行理论分析,得到主共振情况下船舶运动稳态响应的解析解,并对实船进行稳定性分析。通过不同波浪条件下船舶非线性横摇运动的模拟计算,预报船舶在横浪中的横摇运动,预报结果与试验结果比较一致。     

The Rotterdam Rules: Catalyst for trade or cumbersome convention?

The announcement of the Rotterdam Rules, a new convention governing the carriage of goods through maritime transport, was greeted with support and opposition. This commentary analyzes its pros and cons, and argues that when fully implemented, the convention will have a significant impact on the carriage of goods and is poised to boost the volume of maritime trade.     

Design and Testing of an Underwater Microscopewith Variable Objective Lens for the Study of Benthic Communities

Monitoring the ecology and physiology of corals, sediments, planktons, and microplastic at a suitable spatial resolution is of great importance in oceanic scien...     

Non-motorised Level of Service: Addressing Challenges in Pedestrian and Bicycle Level of Service

Motorised vehicle conditions have been evaluated by many researchers. In contrast, there are very limited studies on vulnerable and non-motorised users, such as cyclists and pedestrians, specifically children, the elderly and the disabled. Thus, this paper reviews prominent studies on street evaluations to identify effective indicators for non-motorised trips. The street condition for these trips is measured by the bicycle level of service (BLOS) and the pedestrian level of service (PLOS). In previous studies, different methods have been introduced for PLOS and BLOS. However, these methods have several major shortcomings. First, pedestrians and cyclists are assumed to be users who can share street facilities with motorised vehicles and thus are considered equivalent to cars. Second, the majority of these methods are complicated and time-consuming, and it is difficult to connect them to a design process. Furthermore, these methods support only a limited number of walking and cycling facilities; therefore, they may not be valid for a wide range of pedestrians and cyclists with a diverse variety of abilities and ages. This study discusses the challenges in the BLOS and PLOS research and attempts to introduce new objectives for further studies in this field to eliminate the aforementioned shortcomings.