Integrated models of land use and transportation for the autonomous vehicle revolution

ABSTRACT

The advent of the autonomous vehicle (AV) will affect not only the transportation system, but also future patterns of land development. Integrated land use and transportation models will be critical tools in assessing the path forward with this technology. Key questions with respect to land use impacts of AVs arise from potential changes in sensitivity to travel and reduced demand for parking. It is an open question whether AVs will induce urban sprawl, or whether spatial economies of agglomeration will mitigate any reductions in travel time sensitivity. The deployment of shared fleets of AVs would likely reduce parking demand, producing yet to be explored impacts on property development within existing urban footprints. We perform a critical assessment of currently operational models and their ability to represent the adoption of AVs. We identify the representation of time in such models as a vital component requiring additional development to model this new technology. Existing model applications have focused on the discrete addition of new infrastructure or policy at a fixed point in time, whereas AV adoption will occur incrementally through time. Stated adaptation surveys are recommended as tools to quantify preferences and develop relevant model inputs. It is argued that existing models that assume comparatively static equilibrium have been convenient in the past, but are insufficient to model technology adoption. In contrast, dynamic model frameworks lack sufficient structure to maintain reasonability under large perturbations from base conditions. The ongoing advancement of computing has allowed models to move away from being mechanistic aggregate tools, towards behaviourally rich depictions of individual persons and firms. However, much work remains to move from projections of existing conditions into the future, to the evolution of the spatial economy as it evolves through time in response to new technologies and exogenous stresses. Principles from complex and evolutionary systems theory will be important in the development of models with the capacity to consider such dynamics.     

船舶除锈机器人驱动系统设计

介绍了应用在船舶除锈的磁吸附爬壁机器人本体驱动系统的设计,着重阐述了系统的驱动原理和驱动电路。系统以89c51单片机为核心,通过键盘以及通信接口可以方便的控制步进电机带动机器人本体运动,充分发挥了单片机的优势。实验表明,系统电路设计合理,简单实用。     

气象信息在船舶管理中的应用

从船舶航行安全、可靠性角度考虑，一个重要的影响因素是航行船舶所在海域的气象状况，因此气象信息对于船舶调度管理起到非常积极重要的作用。如何获取气象信息，并把获取的气象信息融合到电子海图显示平台中，对于航行船舶的监控和管理显得十分有意义。针对如何获取气象信息及如何与电子海图叠加显示两方面的内容进行了论述。     

海员避碰行动各指标相关性的多元回归分析

在获取大量海员避碰行动样本的基础上，通过建立多元线性回归的数学模型，分析了转向时机、转向幅度、目标船舷角、会遇两船的船速比等4个指标与目标船最后通过距离之间的相关性大小，结论对海员避碰行动决策有一定的参考价值。由于样本是在对海员进行航海模拟器训练中获得的，从而说明了用航海模拟器来研究避碰行为的可行性以及STCW公约强化模拟器训练的必要性。     

挖掘机动臂自动下降故障的分析与排除

针对小松PC200挖掘机出现的动臂自动下降故障,按照由易到繁的步骤逐步分析了故障发生的原因,并且提出了在故障排除中应注意的问题.     

舰载信息系统软件安全

软件安全是舰载信息系统设计、开发、使用、维护中需要考虑的重要问题,从舰载信息系统安全体系出发,讨论软件安全威胁和软件安全阶段的划分,提供一些有效的软件安全措施。     

舰载文电处理系统构件化设计与实现

针对当前舰载文电系统开发效率低、灵活性和健壮性较差的问题，提出一种基于CORBA的舰载文电系统构件化设计与实现方法，分析和比较采用此方法所实现的新型文电系统的特点。     

坞式舰船压载系统研究

对坞式舰船压载系统设计中需考虑的稳性、作业时间、注排水方式等问题进行了分析研究,可供有关设计人员参考.     

强化胎盘因子对细胞因子产生的影响

在观察了强化胎盘因子对淋巴细胞增殖试验影响的基础上,应用CTLL-2和7TD_1两种细胞株对强化胎盘因子刺激后的小鼠脾脏细胞分泌白细胞介素-2(IL-2)和白细胞介素-6(IL-6)水平分别进行了实验研究。结果表明,强化胎盘因子促进T淋巴细胞增殖,使小鼠脾脏细胞分泌IL-2和IL-6水牛均明显提高,有增强机体免疫功能的作用。     

SS5型客运电力机车 10：电子控制系统

SS5型电力机车设有两套控制系统,一套为闭环自动控制系统,用于牵引、制动、防空转、功率因数补偿等控制,另一套为简单的开环控制系统,用于控制全控桥和半控桥的脉冲移相,以调节电机电压。作者叙述了电子控制柜的主要结构特点,并通过对系统框图的介绍,阐明了电子控制系统的主要工作原理,其中特性控制技术、顺控技术、再生制动控制技术、防空转技术等都是首次在国产机车上采用。