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论隧道洞口仰坡的风险评估与管理
引用本文:李向辉,董捷.论隧道洞口仰坡的风险评估与管理[J].铁道建筑技术,2012(6):63-66.
作者姓名:李向辉  董捷
作者单位:1. 天津铁路集团工程有限公司,天津,300381
2. 天津大学建筑工程学院,天津,300381
基金项目:中国博士后科学基金资助,国家自然科学基金资助
摘    要:在分析、总结风险评估理论的基础上,结合模糊数学多级综合评判理论,建立了隧道洞口仰坡施工期间破坏失稳的概率模型。同时将计算结果引入到风险评估理论中,把失稳概率和风险计算过程结合起来,并尝试建立评价隧道施工期间洞口仰坡的风险评估模型,在此基础上又提出了仰坡风险管理的几种手段,期望能够对隧道施工减灾有一定的借鉴。

关 键 词:风险评估  模糊数学  隧道  洞口仰坡

Discussion about Risk Assessment and Management of Tunnel Upslope above the Opening
Li Xianghui,Dong Jie.Discussion about Risk Assessment and Management of Tunnel Upslope above the Opening[J].Railway Construction Technology,2012(6):63-66.
Authors:Li Xianghui  Dong Jie
Institution:1.Tianjin Railway Engineering Corporation,Tianjin 300381,China; 2.College of Civil Engineering and Architecture,Tianjin University,Tianjin 300381,China)
Abstract:The article based on the analysis and conclusion about some risk assessment theories,in combination with the multilevel fuzzing mathematics theory,the probability model is established about the upslope destruction when the tunnel is constructed.The computation result is substituted to the risk assessment model in combination with the process of risk calculation to create the risk assessment model about tunnel upslope above the opening during the construction period.Eventually,some measures are suggested to manage the upslope risk so as to supply some help to reduce hazard in the tunnel construction.
Keywords:risk assessment  fuzzing mathematics  tunnel  opening upslope
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