| 基于模糊层次分析方法大型桥梁工程项目风险评估 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈军,张德明,蔺亚虎.基于模糊层次分析方法大型桥梁工程项目风险评估[J].石家庄铁道学院学报,2010,23(3):29-33. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈军 张德明 蔺亚虎 |
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| 作者单位： | 陈军,张德明(同济大学,桥梁工程系,上海,200092);蔺亚虎(北京铁城建设监理有限责任公司,北京,100855) |
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| 摘 要： | 大型桥梁工程规划、施工、运营期间面临众多不确定性因素影响，初步对工程项目进行风险识别，构建大型桥梁工程项目的风险评价指标体系，在传统层次分析法中引入模糊数学理论，建立了桥梁工程项目风险模糊层次分析模型，并将此模型在一座特大桥项目中运用，验证了这种风险评估方法的有效性和实用性。
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| 关 键 词： | 风险评估 风险评价指标体系 模糊层次分析法 模糊综合评价 桥梁工程 |
Risk Evaluation of Large Bridge Project Based on Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process |
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| Chen Jun,Zhang Deming,Lin Yahu.Risk Evaluation of Large Bridge Project Based on Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process[J].Journal of Shijiazhuang Railway Institute,2010,23(3):29-33. |
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| Authors: | Chen Jun Zhang Deming Lin Yahu |
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| Institution: | 1. Department of Bridge Engineering, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, China; 2. Beijing Railway Construction Management Corporation Limited, Beijing 100855, China) |
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| Abstract: | There are a number of uncertainties during the period of planning, construction and operation of large-scale bridge project. In this paper, project risks are preliminary identified, and large - scale bridge project risk evaluation index system is established. Fuzzy mathematics theory is applied in the traditional AHP, and fuzzy AHP risk analysis model of bridge engineering project is established for a bridge project to verify the validity and practicability of this risk assessment method. |
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| Keywords: | risk assessment risk evaluation index system fuzzy analytic hierarchy process fuzzy comprehensive evaluation bridge engineering |
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