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Quantifying the benefit of responsive pricing and travel information in the stochastic congestion pricing problem
Authors:Lauren M. Gardner  Stephen D. Boyles
Affiliation:a 6.204 ECJ Hall, Department of Civil Engineering, University of Texas, Austin, TX 78712, United States
b University of Wyoming, Dept. 3295, 1000 E University Ave., Laramie, WY 82071, United States
Abstract:This paper is concerned with roadway pricing amidst the uncertainty which characterizes long-term transportation planning. Uncertainty is considered both on the supply-side (e.g., the effect of incidents on habitual route choice behavior) and on the demand-side (e.g., due to prediction errors in demand forecasting). The framework developed in this paper also allows the benefits of real-time travel information to be compared directly against the benefits of responsive pricing, allowing planning agencies to identify the value of these policy options or contract terms in publicly-operated toll roads. Specifically, six scenarios reflect different combinations of policy options, and correspond to different solution methods for optimal tolls. Demonstrations are provided on both the Sioux falls and Anaheim networks. Results indicate that providing information to drivers implemented alongside responsive tolling may reduce expected total system travel time by over 9%, though more than 8% of the improvement is due to providing information, with the remaining 1% improvement gained from responsive tolling.
Keywords:Congestion pricing   Revenue variability   Toll road returns   Demand uncertainty   Supply uncertainty   Information
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