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交通拥挤负外部成本量化模型及应用研究
引用本文:邵源,林培群,郑健,张小宁. 交通拥挤负外部成本量化模型及应用研究[J]. 交通运输系统工程与信息, 2021, 21(2): 1-6. DOI: 10.16097/j.cnki.1009-6744.2021.02.001
作者姓名:邵源  林培群  郑健  张小宁
作者单位:1. 华南理工大学,土木与交通学院,广州 510640;2. 深圳市城市交通规划设计研究中心,深圳市交通信息与交通工程重点实验室,广东 深圳 518000;3. 同济大学,经济与管理学院,上海 200092
基金项目:国家自然科学基金/National Natural Science Foundation of China(U1811463,52072130);广东省自然科学基金/ Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province, China(2020A1515010349).
摘    要:交通拥挤负外部成本游离于经济杠杆调控政策的价格体系之外,未能在市场价格中体现是导致交通资源配置失衡的关键.为科学量化交通拥挤负外部成本,支撑经济杠杆需求调控政策实现外部成本内部化,从交通拥挤造成的时间延误、交通事故、环境污染这3个维度解析交通拥挤负面经济成本,构建小汽车交通拥挤负外部成本量化数学模型.以深圳市为例,计算...

关 键 词:城市交通  负外部成本  量化模型  拥挤  需求管理政策
收稿时间:2020-12-22

Calculation Model and Application of Negative External Cost of Traffic Congestion
SHAO Yuan,LIN Pei-qun,ZHENG Jian,ZHANG Xiao-ning. Calculation Model and Application of Negative External Cost of Traffic Congestion[J]. Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology, 2021, 21(2): 1-6. DOI: 10.16097/j.cnki.1009-6744.2021.02.001
Authors:SHAO Yuan  LIN Pei-qun  ZHENG Jian  ZHANG Xiao-ning
Affiliation:1. School of Civil Engineering and Transportation, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510640, China; 2. Shenzhen Key Laboratory for Traffic Information and Traffic Engineering, Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co. Ltd., Shenzhen 518000, Guangdong, China; 3. School of Economics and Management, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, China
Abstract:It appears that the negative external cost of traffic congestion has not been considered in the price system of economic leverage control policies, which causes an imbalance in the allocation of traffic resources. To scientifically quantify the negative external cost of traffic congestion, this study analyzes the negative economic cost of traffic congestion in terms of time delay, traffic accidents, and environmental pollution, and proposes a car quantitative mathematical model to reflect the negative external cost of traffic congestion. Taking Shenzhen city as an example, the paper calculates the typical negative external cost of traffic congestion in a city. The result shows that the average negative external cost of traffic congestion generated by each car in Shenzhen throughout the year is as high as 24460 CNY, and the negative external cost of traffic congestion is about 2.1 CNY per kilometer of each car. In accordance with the "user pays" principle, the economic leverage control policy charging rate should cover the negative external cost of car traffic congestion, and it is recommended to refer to a charge of 2.1 CNY per kilometer per car.
Keywords:urban traffic  negative external cost  calculation model  traffic congestion  traffic demand management policy  
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