基于系统动力学的上海港节能减排政策仿真

为考察相关节能减排政策对港口能源消耗和大气污染物排放的作用效果,在充分了解政策扶持重点和未来发展趋势的基础上,深入剖析港口节能减排路径中靠港船舶、码头、港口效益、能源和环境等系统要素之间相互影响的机理,运用系统动力学原理和方法构建港口节能减排系统动力学模型,动态仿真出在不同政策方案下的实施效果并进行对比分析,研究结果表...

Policy Simulation on Shanghai Port Energy Saving and Emission Reduction Based on System Dynamics

The effect of relevant energy saving and emission reduction policies on port energy consumption and air pollutant emission is examined.The dynamic model of port energy saving and emission reduction system is constructed and the implementation effects with different policy schemes are simulated and analyzed,focusing on the interaction mechanism among the system elements affecting port energy saving and emission reduction.The research shows that:The technical means and the market mechanism have the most significant effects on the energy saving and emission reduction of the port,within which the carbon emission trading mechanism shows high effectiveness while the effect of the financial incentive appears rather weak;However,the latter can expand the space for energy saving and emission reduction in long term;The operation and management policies have no obvious effect on the whole port because of its narrow coverage.