| 武汉市机动车发展规模预测分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 朱宏伟,张建武.武汉市机动车发展规模预测分析[J].交通与运输,2007(2). |
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| 作者姓名： | 朱宏伟 张建武 |
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| 作者单位： | 武汉市交通科学研究所 武汉430015 |
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| 摘 要： | 机动车发展问题是目前国内外关注的重点问题,通过研究武汉市机动车拥有量现状,分析影响武汉市机动车拥有量规模的主要因素,寻找适合武汉市机动车发展的增长曲线,通过多种预测方法对武汉市机动车拥有量进行预测。力求科学的预测未来武汉市机动车的发展规模,为制定机动车发展政策提供依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 机动车 规模 预测 生命周期 综合模型 |
Wuhan Vehicle Development Scale Forecast Analysis |
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| ZHU Hong-wei ZHANG Jian-wu.Wuhan Vehicle Development Scale Forecast Analysis[J].Traffic and Transportation,2007(2). |
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| Authors: | ZHU Hong-wei ZHANG Jian-wu |
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| Abstract: | The development of vehicle is the focus of domestic and international urban transportation. The paper makes an estimate for Wuhan vehicle possession scale through analyzing Wuhan vehicle possession existing situation as well as the factors concerned with Wuhan vehicle possession and searching a increase curve which is suitable to Wuhan vehicle development. The aim of the paper is to make a precise estimate for Wuhan vehicle development in the future and to lay a good basis for issuing related policy. |
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| Keywords: | Vehicle Scale Estimate Life period Comprehensive model |
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