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Comparison of road freight transport trends in Europe. Coupling and decoupling factors from an Input–Output structural decomposition analysis
Institution:1. Port Research Division, Korea Maritime Institute, 26, Haeyang-Ro 301Beon-Gil, Yeongdo-Gu, Busan 49111, South Korea;2. Graduate School of Energy & Environment, Seoul National University of Science & Technology, 232 Gongreung-Ro, Nowon-Gu, Seoul 01811, South Korea;1. Institute of Energy and Climate Research (IEK), System Analysis and Technology Evaluation (IEK-STE), Forschungszentrum Jülich, Wilhelm-Johnen-Straße, 52425 Jülich, Germany;2. Institute for Industrial Production (IIP), Chair of Energy Economics, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Hertzstraße 16, Building 06.33, 76187 Karlsruhe, Germany;1. School of Industrial Engineering and Operations, Planning, Accounting and Control (OPAC), Eindhoven University of Technology, Eindhoven 5600 MB, The Netherlands;2. School of Management and Centre for Operational Research, Management Science and Information Systems (CORMSIS), University of Southampton, Southampton, Highfield SO17 1BJ, United Kingdom;3. Canada Research Chair in Distribution Management and Interuniversity Research Centre on Enterprise Networks, Logistics, and Transportation (CIRRELT), HEC Montréal, 3000 chemin de la Côte-Sainte-Catherine, Montréal H3T 2A7, Canada;1. School of Chemical Engineering, China University of Petroleum, Qingdao, 266580, China;2. School of Urban and Regional Science, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, Shanghai, 200433, China;3. School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, 200240, China
Abstract:Decoupling road freight transport from economic growth has been acknowledged by the European Union as a key means to improving sustainability. It is therefore important to identify both the coupling and decoupling drivers of road freight transport demand in order to determine possible factors that may contribute to reduce road transport in the future without curbing economic development. This research proposes an Input–Output (IO) structural decomposition analysis (SDA) to explain road freight transport in terms of a set of key factors that have strongly influenced road freight demand in recent decades in European countries—such as economic growth, economic structure and the evolution of road transport intensity (including improvements in both supply and transport systems). This methodological approach allows us to quantify and compare their contribution in different European countries to either increase or decrease road freight transport demand. The empirical basis for this analysis is a dataset of nine European countries which have IO tables and road transport data available from 2000 to 2007, comprising data on domestic production, imports and exports as well as tonne-kms for 11 types of commodity classes. The results show that, as a whole, aggregate road transport demand has grown—driven mainly by economic activity—but this growth has been strongly curbed in some countries by changes in road freight transport intensity and moderately by the dematerialization of the economy. International transport has been also proven to be a key factor driving road freight transport volumes. Moreover, the increased penetration of foreign operators in national haulage markets appears to have reinforced the final decoupling levels observed in some cases.
Keywords:Road freight transport  Input–Output  Decoupling  Europe  Structural decomposition analysis
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