Does crowding affect the path choice of metro passengers? |
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| Institution: | 1. DIW Berlin, Public Economics Department, Mohrenstr. 58, 10117 Berlin, Germany;2. Université Paris Est, IFSTTAR-SPLOTT, Bvd Newton 14-20, Cité Descartes, 77447 Marne-la-Vallée, France;1. Delft University of Technology, Department of Transport and Planning, P.O. Box 5048, 2600 GA Delft, The Netherlands;2. ProRail, Moreelsepark 3, 3511 EP Utrecht, The Netherlands;3. Significance, Koninginnegracht 23, 2514 AB The Hague, The Netherlands;1. The Key Lab of Road and Traffic Engineering, Ministry of Education, Tongji University, Shanghai 201804, China;2. Hyder ACLA Consulting (Shanghai) Limited, Shanghai 200331, China;1. Microsoft Corp., Sunnyvale, CA 94089, USA;2. Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115, USA;3. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA |
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| Abstract: | This paper investigates crowding effect on the path choice of metro passengers. We show people reroute not only to avoid the delay from crowding but also to evade crowding itself. More specifically, a logit model fits best when it uses the transit delay from crowding as well as the passenger load of a connection in addition to the conventional explanatory variables. Also, we demonstrate that crowding decreases the overall welfare of metro passengers. The model is tested on the real path choice data acquired by the recent algorithm by Hong et al. (2015) known to detect the real path choice from Smart Card data in more than 90% of the cases. |
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| Keywords: | Crowding Path choice Logit model Case study |
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