Effects of wind strength and wave height on ship incident risk: Regional trends and seasonality |
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| Institution: | 1. Department of Merchant Marine, National Taiwan Ocean University, Keelung, 20224, Taiwan;2. Maritime Development and Training Center, National Taiwan Ocean University, Taiwan;3. Department of Systems Engineering and Naval Architecture, National Taiwan Ocean University, Taiwan;1. Electronics and Computer Science, University of Southampton, Highfield, Southampton SO17 1BJ, UK;2. Centre for Risk Research, Southampton Business School, University of Southampton, Highfield, Southampton SO17 1BJ, UK;3. Department of Computing and Informatics, Talbot Campus, University of Bournemouth, Bournemouth BH12 5BB, United Kingdom;4. Department of Computer Science, University of Warwick, Warwick CV4 7AL, United Kingdom;1. Dept. of Shipping and Marine Technology, Chalmers University of Technology, 41296 Gothenburg, Sweden;2. Dept. of Mathematical Sciences, Chalmers University of Technology, 41296 Gothenburg, Sweden;3. DNV-GL, No-1322, Hovik, Norway |
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| Abstract: | Oceanographic conditions like wind strength and wave height affect the risk of shipping incidents. Seasonal variations and trends in these effects are studied for weather-related incidents and pollution incidents, for six major ship types and for six regions across the globe. The employed database of more than five million observations combines information from various sources on oceanographic conditions, ship particulars, and incidents. The magnitude of wind and wave effects is found to vary by ship type, region, season, and period, and most of these effects are larger during the autumn and winter season and in recent periods. |
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| Keywords: | Shipping incident Wind and waves Pollution Oceanographic risk factors Logit model |
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