| 基于模糊神经网络的交通事故微观预测方法研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘金,邓卫.基于模糊神经网络的交通事故微观预测方法研究[J].交通运输工程与信息学报,2011,9(4):69-75. |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘金 邓卫 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 江苏省城市交通规划研究中心,南京,210024
2. 东南大学,交通学院,南京210096 |
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| 摘 要： | 道路交通事故微观预测包括对路段和交叉口事故指标的预测．本文总结现有预测方法的优劣性，探讨现有预测方法的改善方向，提出了基于模糊神经网络的交通事故微观预测方法，分析了网络结构和学习算法。以石河子市交通事故调查数据进行实例分析，选择路段事故影响因素作为输入变量，通过Matlab编程实现模糊神经网络的算法，并与负二项回归模型...
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| 关 键 词： | 道路交通事故 微观预测 模糊神经网络 |
Research on Microcosmic Forecast Methods of Road Accidents Based on Fuzzy Neural Network |
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| LIU Jin DENG Wei .Jiangsu Institute of Urban Transport Planning,Nanjing ,China .Transportation College,Southeast University,Nanjing ,China.Research on Microcosmic Forecast Methods of Road Accidents Based on Fuzzy Neural Network[J].Journal of Transportation Engineering and Information,2011,9(4):69-75. |
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| Authors: | LIU Jin DENG Wei Jiangsu Institute of Urban Transport Planning Nanjing China Transportation College Southeast University Nanjing China |
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| Institution: | LIU Jin1 DENG Wei2 1.Jiangsu Institute of Urban Transport Planning,Nanjing 210024,China 2.Transportation College,Southeast University,Nanjing 210096,China |
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| Abstract: | The microcosmic prediction of road accidents consists of the prediction of highway section and intersection accidents.Based on an overall summary about the existed superior and inferior forecast methods,the improvement direction in the existed prediction methods was discussed,an accident microcosmic prediction method based on fuzzy neural network was put forward,then the network structure and learning algorithm were analyzed;an instance analysis was carried out with the traffic accident census data of Shihe... |
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| Keywords: | Road accidents microcosmic forecast fuzzy neural network |
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