交通运输与物流业、旅游业发展耦合协调度分析——以武汉市为例

研究城市交通与其他系统间的协调性问题具有重要意义。为研究交通运输与物流业、交通运输与旅游业发展的协调程度, 构建反映3个系统发展水平的指标体系, 在此基础上构建耦合协调度模型、分析系统间的耦合协调状况。以武汉市2010-2017年交通运输系统与物流业、旅游业发展为例, 进行综合实证分析。结果显示, 3个系统之间综合评价值总体上均呈现出持续上升发展之势。其中, 交通运输业与物流业的协调耦合度从2010年的0.0841上升至2017年的0.9301, 交通运输业与旅游业的协调耦合度从2010年的0.1197上升至2017年的0.9314, 均经历了从严重失调到高度协调的阶段。研究结果与武汉市实际发展情况一致, 可证明所提方法的有效性。 

Coupling Coordination Degree of Transportation,Logistics, and Tourism:A Case Study of Wuhan City

It is significant to study the coordination between urban traffic and other systems.The paper constructs the indicators system reflecting development levels of three systems, transportation system, logistics industry, and tourism industry, to study their coordination degree.A coupling coordination model is introduced to analyze the coupling coor- dination of the systems.The development data of the transportation system, logistics industry, and tourism industry in Wuhan city from 2010 to 2017 is taken as a case study for a comprehensive empirical analysis.The results show that the overall evaluation value continues to grow.The coordination coupling degree of the transportation system and logis- tics industry increases from 0.0841 in 2010 to 0.9301 in 2017, and that of the transportation system and tourism indus- try from 0.1197 in 2010 to 0.9314 in 2017.The coordination degree of the three major systems successively experienc- es from severe imbalance to high coordination.The results are consistent with the actual development of Wuhan city, which proves the effectiveness of the proposed method.