| 基于灰色理论的点速度预测模型分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 王伟,董德存.基于灰色理论的点速度预测模型分析[J].交通科技与经济,2010,12(2):1-4. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王伟 董德存 |
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| 作者单位： | 同济大学,交通运输工程学院,上海,200092 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家863项目(001AA05000) |
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| 摘 要： | 利用灰色系统理论，建立快速路地点车速预测的GM（1，1）灰色预测模型，对点速度进行预测，并结合实例应用和验证，预测结果和实测结果较好的吻合，精度较高，表明灰色预测方法的可行性，而且方法简便。
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| 关 键 词： | 地点车速 灰色预测 MATLAB |
Research of Spot Speed Forecast Model Based on Grey Forecast Theory |
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| WANG Wei,DONG De-Cun.Research of Spot Speed Forecast Model Based on Grey Forecast Theory[J].Technology & Economy in Areas of Communications,2010,12(2):1-4. |
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| Authors: | WANG Wei DONG De-Cun |
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| Institution: | School of Traffic and Transportation Engineer/a>;Tongji University/a>;Shanghai 200092/a>;China |
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| Abstract: | In order to forecast the spot speed of highway,establishing a highway GM (1,1) prediction model based on grey forecast theory,then combining with examples of the application to verify the theory.The results turns to be good and precise,this indicates the feasibility of using the grey prediction method on highway spot speed forecast. |
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| Keywords: | spot speed grey forecast MATLAB |
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