| 人口红利结束将促成中国汽车产业消费悬崖(1) |
| |
| 引用本文： | 胡卫国.人口红利结束将促成中国汽车产业消费悬崖(1)[J].摩托车技术,2014(5):31-32. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 胡卫国 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 中国汽车技术研究中心 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 在汽车产业的分析中,可以通过建立人口分析的范式,结合人口因素、人的消费习惯及汽车报废年限来预测汽车产业的发展方向。本文从人口结构的角度分析了未来我国汽车产业面临的消费悬崖,并从人口的角度对2001~2010年我国汽车产业的发展及未来老龄化对汽车产业的冲击进行了分析,并提出了我国汽车产业管理要从重视量的扩张向强调质的提升转变。
|
| 关 键 词： | 预测模型 人口红利 老龄化 汽车消费悬崖 |
The End of Population Bonus Will Form the Consumption Cliff of Chinese Automotive Industry（1） |
| |
| Hu Weiguo.The End of Population Bonus Will Form the Consumption Cliff of Chinese Automotive Industry（1）[J].Motorcycle Technology,2014(5):31-32. |
| |
| Authors: | Hu Weiguo |
| |
| Institution: | Hu Weiguo China Automotive Technology ＆ Research Center |
| |
| Abstract: | This paper introduces the analysis and forecast for Chinese automotive industry with demographic factor, consumption habits and auto scappage period. This paper analyzes the consumption cliff and development trend of Chinese automotive industry during 2001 to 2010 based on population structure and aging condition. And the point of realizing the transition from quantity to quality in the management of Chinese automotive industry is also put forward. |
| |
| Keywords: | Forecast model Population bonus Aging Auto consumption cliff |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 等数据库收录！ |
