亚运交通仿真集成系统的建立与应用

为促进亚运交通组织方案决策的科学性,对亚运交通仿真系统进行研究。建立了亚运交通仿真集成系统,包括亚运交通模型体系的设计、亚运交通数据采集与基础信息平台的构建、亚运交通仿真子系统平台的构建与集成三个环节。系统仿真结果与亚运期间交通运行状况的对比结果表明,不论是交通政策实施产生的影响,还是亚运专用道系统的使用,亚运会及亚残运会开、闭幕式和重点赛区交通组织方案的实施,最大预测误差均为10%左右,最小预测误差为2.5%。亚运交通仿真集成系统在后亚运时代将继续为广州市交通规划研究提供定量分析工具。

Traffic Simulation System for Asian Games

In order to have an efficient traffic management system for the Asian Games, an integrated traffic simulation program was developed, which includes traffic flow models, traffic data collec tion and basic information platform, and simulation subsystems. The maximum and minimum differences between the simulation re sults and the actual traffic data are about 10% and 2.5% respective ly, concerning the impact of Asian Games transportation policy, the effect of the special traffic lanes, and the traffic management pro grams for both opening and closing ceremonies as well as the key zones. The study proves that the integrated simulation system can be served as a quantitative analysis tool for traffic planning in Guangzhou.