30年来中国轿车市场的5次波动

系统论述了中国轿车市场1978--2008年发生的5次波动。通过对前4次波动的研究,提出了新的车市研究方法体系一车市波动分析法,该方法成功预报了第5次波动期的主要阶段。详细介绍了轿车市场第5次波动期的全过程,分析了中国轿车市场波动规律的“井喷”和“余喷”现象,以及2009--2010年轿车市场发展趋势。

Five Fluctuations for China Auto Market during the Period of Thirty Years

Five fluctuations for China auto market during the period of thirty years from 1978 to 2008 are discussed. A new auto market research system--auto market fluctuation analysis method is put forward based on four fluctuations research. It successfully predicted the main phase of the fifth fluctuation period. The whole process of the fifth fluctuation is introduced in detail. ‘Blowout＇ and ‘Residual blowout＇ in China auto market fluctuation pattern is analyzed. And auto market trend from 2009 to 2010 is also explained.