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不确定分布下的态势估计方法
引用本文:金宏,周武,黄四牛,熊伟.不确定分布下的态势估计方法[J].舰船电子工程,2010,30(3):58-62.
作者姓名:金宏  周武  黄四牛  熊伟
作者单位:航天科工四院十七所C4ISR技术重点实验室 北京,100038
基金项目:"九七三"国家安全重大基础研究项目 
摘    要:在战场态势估计中,常常需要判断事件发生的时间顺序,而对事件发生时间的观测往往含有不确定性。考虑时间测量的分布不确定性,讨论利用Bootstrap方法来模拟时间测量误差的分布特性,给出在Bootstrap模拟经验分布下的两个事件发生顺序的态势判别方法,建立相应的时间顺序关系的概率计算公式。

关 键 词:态势估计  经验分布  时间顺序  bootstrap

Situation Assessment Method with Distribution Uncertainty
Jin Hong,Zhou Wu,Huang Siniu,Xiong Wei.Situation Assessment Method with Distribution Uncertainty[J].Ship Electronic Engineering,2010,30(3):58-62.
Authors:Jin Hong  Zhou Wu  Huang Siniu  Xiong Wei
Institution:Jin Hong Zhou Wu Huang Siniu Xiong Wei(C4ISR Lab,Seventeenth Institute of China Aerospace Science & Industry Corp,Beijing 100038)
Abstract:In battlefield situation assessment,it always needs to judge the time sequence of events,however the measurement of time that an event happens contains uncertainty usually.The distribution uncertainty is considered,and the bootstrap method is used to simulate the distribution characteristics of time measurement error.The judging methods of time sequence of two events are discussed under bootstrap simulating empirical distribution.The probability calculating formulas of corresponding time sequence relationship are given.
Keywords:bootstrap
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