| 基于供需关系的铁路货运需求预测 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 保鲁昆,辛灵,鲍晶晶.基于供需关系的铁路货运需求预测[J].交通科技与经济,2007,9(2):99-101. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 保鲁昆 辛灵 鲍晶晶 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 西南交通大学,交通运输学院,四川,成都,610031 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 分析运输结构变化对铁路货运供给的影响、铁路货运需求与国民经济发展的关系以及铁路货运供需关系。总结以往铁路货运量预测方法、特点,把铁路货物运输需求量按供给关系分成供小于求和供需平衡两个阶段,并分别提出相应预测函数。
|
| 关 键 词： | 铁路货运 运输结构 国民经济 供需分析 预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1008-5696（2007）02-0099-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-11-06 |
The prediction method of China railway freight transportation's demand based on the relationship of supply and demand |
| |
| BAO Lu-kun,XIN Ling,BAO Jing-jing.The prediction method of China railway freight transportation''''s demand based on the relationship of supply and demand[J].Technology & Economy in Areas of Communications,2007,9(2):99-101. |
| |
| Authors: | BAO Lu-kun XIN Ling BAO Jing-jing |
| |
| Abstract: | This paper analyzes the influence of transportation structure's variety on transportation supply,the relationship between national economy and railway freight transportation demand,the relation between supply and demand of the railway freight transportation.Based on the analysis,this paper sums up the former prediction methods' character.In terms of the relation between supply and demand,the prediction of railway freight transportation volume was separated by two stages:supply is smaller than demand and supply is bigger than demand.The paper then puts forward the predict function correspondingly.It provides methods for the prediction.It can also provide the decision support for railroad's development. |
| |
| Keywords: | railway freight transportation transportation structure national economy analysis of supply and demand prediction |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
