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差分模型和灰色理论组合预测模型在桥梁施工控制中的应用
引用本文:朱伟伟,杨逸江. 差分模型和灰色理论组合预测模型在桥梁施工控制中的应用[J]. 交通科技, 2014, 0(1): 1-4
作者姓名:朱伟伟  杨逸江
作者单位:长江生态(湖北)科技发展有限责任公司,武汉430014
摘    要:
以内蒙古包头镫口黄河特大桥施工监控为背景,利用最优加权组合预测模型的基本原理,提出了差分模型和灰色系统理论中的新陈代谢GM(1,1)模型的组合预测模型,预测梁段的应力值。通过与实测值的对比,表明该模型具有较高的精度和较好的稳定性。

关 键 词:施工控制  差分模型  灰色理论  最优加权组合预测模型  应力预测

Application of Combination Prediction Model Based on Difference Model and Grey System Theory to the Construction Control of Bridges
Zhu Weiwei,Yang Yijiang. Application of Combination Prediction Model Based on Difference Model and Grey System Theory to the Construction Control of Bridges[J]. Transportation Science & Technology, 2014, 0(1): 1-4
Authors:Zhu Weiwei  Yang Yijiang
Affiliation:(Changjiang Ecology (Hubei) Technology Development LLC, Wuhan 430014, China)
Abstract:
The optimum weighted combined model is characteristics of the maximum use of information and the minimum sum of residual squares, which is widely used in prediction. According to the funda- mental principle of optimum weighted combined theory and taking the construction monitoring of DengKou Yellow River Super Bridge in Baotou of Inner Mongolia as background, this paper presents a combination prediction model based on difference model and metabolic GM(1,1)model of grey system theory, and applies the model to forecast the stress of the girders. By comparing to the measured val- ues, the higher precision and the better stability of the optimum weighted combined model is valida- ted. A new approach is provided for the real-time prediction in the construction control of bridges.
Keywords:construction control  difference model  grey system theory  optimum weighted combined model  stress prediction
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