中小城市交通生成预测模型研究

城市交通生成预测是城市交通规划的基础，如何客观、科学地进行交通生成预测，是当前我国城市交通规划中共同面临的课题。一般来说，不同的土地利用布局、不同的土地利用性质和不同的土地利用强度，对应着不同的交通生成。因此，建立土地利用与交通生成的相互关系模型，实现土地利用-出行生成相关因素-交通生成的三步式预测方法向土地利用-交通生成两步式预测方法的过渡，将在大大简化交通需求预测过程的同时提高预测结果的可靠性。

Research on Trip Generation Forecast Model of Small & Middle City

The forecasting of urban traffic generation is the base of urban traffic plan. How to predict the trip generation scientifically and impersonally is a topic we have to face together in the traffic plan. Generally speaking, the trip generation varies according to the different layout, the kind and intensity of land use. The model which can reflect the close relationship between the land use and the trip generation will simplify the process of the trip generation prediction as well as the reliability of the experimental result.