| 基于系统动力学的干散货航运市场运力供给研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈言诚,林国龙,胡志华.基于系统动力学的干散货航运市场运力供给研究[J].武汉水运工程学院学报,2012(4):799-803. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈言诚 林国龙 胡志华 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海海事大学物流研究中心,上海200135 |
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| 基金项目： | 上海教育委员会科研创新重点项目（批准号：11ZS145）、国家自然科学基金项目（批准号：71101088）资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 运力过剩是现阶段国际干散货航运市场面临的重要难题,引起干散货航运市场持续低迷.为了揭示干散货航运市场运力供给的发展,阐述了干散货航运市场运力供给现状以及未来的发展趋势,应用系统动力学方法建立未来运力供给模型,对影响干散货航运市场运力供给的各种因素及相互制约关系进行了分析,提出了应对运力过剩问题的若干调整策略.
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| 关 键 词： | 干散货 航运市场 运力供给 系统动力学 |
Study on Shipping Power of Dry Bulk Shipping Market Based on System Dynamics |
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| Authors: | CHEN Yancheng LIN Guolong HU Zhihua |
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| Institution: | (Logistics Research Center, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai 200135, China) |
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| Abstract: | Surplus power is an important problem of international dry bulk shipping market, causing the market remained sluggish. In order to reveal the shipping power development, the shipping power situation and future trend are introduced. System dynamics method is applied to build the future ship- ping power model, the relationship of various factors affecting shipping power of dry bulk shipping market is analyzed. Adjustment strategy to deal with the problem of surplus power is proposed to guide the stable trend of the dry bulk shipping market. |
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| Keywords: | dry bulk shipping market shipping power system dynamics |
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