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| 情景分析法在交通规划中的应用研究 | |
| 引用本文： | 余艳春,邵春福,董威.情景分析法在交通规划中的应用研究[J].武汉理工大学学报(交通科学与工程版),2007,31(2):304-307. |
| 作者姓名： | 余艳春 邵春福 董威 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 北京中交智源交通技术咨询有限公司,北京,100088 2. 北京交通大学交通运输学院,北京,100044 3. 国家发展和改革委员会综合运输研究所,北京,100038 |
| 摘 要： | 运用情景分析法,综合考虑影响交通发展的5个主要因素,结合专家群体的知识与实际数据资料、各种信息与计算机技术以及数学模型与决策者的经验智慧,依次得到 |
| 关 键 词： | 情景分析法 交通规划 交叉影响 概率 关键事件 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-09-21 |
Study on Application for Transportation Planning with Scenario Analysis |
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| Yu Yanchun,Shao Chunfu,Dong Wei.Study on Application for Transportation Planning with Scenario Analysis[J].journal of wuhan university of technology(transportation science&engineering),2007,31(2):304-307. | |
| Authors: | Yu Yanchun Shao Chunfu Dong Wei |
| Abstract: | Experts' knowledge fused with fact data and information,the original,simulative and scenario probability are got based on scenario analysis,which combined qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis.Then the most possible scenario is gained which is used to optimize the prediction data of the traffic and direct the transportation planning.In the research,five key factors are taken into account such as spatial and land use patterns,economic forces etc.Also computer technology and mathematic models are used. |
| Keywords: | scenario analysis transportation planning cross-impact probability key factors |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |