“十三五”时期我国综合交通投资和运输形势分析

以综合交通运输行业发展中的建设投资、路网设施、旅客运输、货物运输方面统计数据指标为基础,通过分析总量指标在“十三五”时期的绝对值、增速,以及各交通运输方式结构指标变化情况,并与“十二五”时期相关指标变化进行对比分析,总结了“十三五”时期的综合交通建设投资、旅客运输和货物运输形势,表明“十三五”时期是综合交通运输从高速度增长向高质量发展的过渡阶段,具体表现为总量扩张趋缓、结构优化明显、升级动力减弱等三大特征,体现在交通投资和供给需求规模增速放缓,高快速交通方式的供需比重增加,交通生产投入的边际产出趋向递减等方面。

Statistical Analysis of China’s Comprehensive Transportation During the 13th Five-Year Plan Period

Based on the statistical data indicators of transportation inve stment,network facilities,passenger transport and freight transportation in the development of transportation industry,this paper analyzes the total-scale indicators,the growth and change of various total indicators in the period of the 13th fiveyear plan,the structural indicators of various transportation modes,and compared them with those in the 12th five-year plan period.It is concluded that the 13th five-year plan period is a transitional period from high-speed growth to high-quality development of comprehensive transportation,which is characterized by slowing-down total expansion,obvious structural optimization and insufficient upgrading power,the growth of transport investment,supply and demand scale slows down,the proportion of supply and demand of high-speed transport mode increases,and the marginal output of transportation input tends to decrease.