| 江西省公路货运量预测研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 孙敬,查伟雄.江西省公路货运量预测研究[J].交通科技与经济,2011,13(2):35-38. |
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| 作者姓名： | 孙敬 查伟雄 |
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| 作者单位： | 华东交通大学交通运输与经济研究所,江西南昌,330013 |
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| 摘 要： | 分析各种货运量预测方法的优缺点,结合公路交通发展的特点,特别是公路货物需求的基础上,选用回归分析法、灰色预测法,对江西省公路货运量进行预测分析。通过灰色系统模型和线性回归的方法对江西省近9年的相关数据运用MATLAB进行分析,预测出江西省未来5年的公路货运量。
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| 关 键 词： | 货运量预测 灰色系统模型 线性回归 MATLAB 公路 |
Forecasting Research of Highway Freight Volume in Jiangxi Province |
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| SUN Jing,ZHA Wei-xiong.Forecasting Research of Highway Freight Volume in Jiangxi Province[J].Technology & Economy in Areas of Communications,2011,13(2):35-38. |
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| Authors: | SUN Jing ZHA Wei-xiong |
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| Institution: | SUN Jing,ZHA Wei-xiong(Huadong Jiaotong University,Transpertation and Economic Research Repartment,Nanchang 330013,China) |
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| Abstract: | Through the analysis of advantages and disadvantages of various methods,combining the characteristics of road traffic development,especially on the basis of highway goods demand,choose regression analysis method,the grey forecasting method,in Jiangxi province highway freight volume forecasting analysis.By using grey system model and linear regression method to Jiangxi province nearly nine years of relevant data by using MATLAB analysis to predict future five years of Jiangxi province highway freight volume. |
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| Keywords: | freight volume GM(1 1) linear regression MATLAB highway |
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