| 城市轨道交通客流灰色预测法应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 薛亮,刘小玲.城市轨道交通客流灰色预测法应用[J].交通科技与经济,2011,13(2):9-13. |
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| 作者姓名： | 薛亮 刘小玲 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 辽宁省交通高等专科学校,辽宁沈阳,110122
2. 沈阳地铁有限公司运营分公司,辽宁沈阳,110011 |
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| 摘 要： | 在介绍灰色系统理论的基础上,叙述运用GM(1,1)预测模型进行预测的详细步骤,讨论灰色预测模型在城市轨道交通客流量预测中的应用。并通过具体数据对未来时期的客流量进行预测,通过精度检验证明预测结果是可信的,从而证明GM(1,1)预测模型应用于城市轨道交通客流预测是完全可行的。
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| 关 键 词： | 城市轨道交通 客流预测 灰色预测 |
Analysis on Grey Forecast for Passenger Volume of Urban Rail Transit |
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| XUE Liang,LIU Xiao-ling.Analysis on Grey Forecast for Passenger Volume of Urban Rail Transit[J].Technology & Economy in Areas of Communications,2011,13(2):9-13. |
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| Authors: | XUE Liang LIU Xiao-ling |
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| Institution: | XUE Liang1,LIU Xiao-ling2(1.Liaoning Province College of Communication,Shenyang 110122,China,2.Shenyang Metro Operation Limited Company,Shenyang 110011,China) |
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| Abstract: | On the basis of introducing the Grey System Theory,describe the detailed steps of the use of GM(1,1) prediction model to predict and discuss the applications of grey prediction model in urban rail transit passenger volume forecast.Forecasting future periods passenger flow through concrete data and prove the forecasting result is credible through accuracy test.And prove that the applications of GM(1,1) prediction model in urban rail transit passenger flow prediction is entirely feasible. |
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| Keywords: | urban rail transit passenger flow prediction grey forecasting |
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