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Adaptation planning for climate-resilient urban infrastructures
Authors:Arash Beheshtian  K P Donaghy  O M Rouhani  R Geddes
Institution:1. Department of City and Regional Planning, Cornell University, Ithaca, USA;2. Department of Policy Analysis and Management, Cornell Program in Infrastructure Policy, Cornell University, Ithaca, USA;3. Department of Civil Engineering and Applied Mechanics, McGill University, Montreal, Canada;4. Department of Policy Analysis and Management, Cornell Program in Infrastructure Policy, Cornell University, Ithaca, USA
Abstract:This paper analyzes the interdependency across two critical infrastructures of transportation and motor fueling supply chains, and investigates how vulnerability to climatic extremes in a fueling infrastructure hampers the resilience of a transportation system. The proposed model features both a bi-stage mathematical program and an extension to an ‘α-reliable mean-excess’ regret model. The former aspect allows decision makers to optimize the pre-disaster asset prepositioning against the maximum post-disaster system resilience. The latter aspect of the proposed model devalues the impact of ‘low-probability, high-cost’ sub-scenarios upon model results. The model reveals the reliance of post-disaster urban mobility on the interdependent critical infrastructure of motor fueling supply chains. The results also suggest how investment in the fueling infrastructure’s vulnerable elements protects urban mobility while the transportation network is stressed or under attack.
Keywords:Urban infrastructure  transportation  fueling supply chains  climate resilience  bi-stage mathematical program  regret model  adaptation planning  case study
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