| 指数平滑法在路面使用性能预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 王昌衡,鲍亮亮.指数平滑法在路面使用性能预测中的应用[J].道路交通与安全,2008,8(4):42-45,53. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王昌衡 鲍亮亮 |
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| 作者单位： | 湖南大学土木工程学院,长沙410082 |
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| 摘 要： | 对路面使用性能指标随时间发展规律及其特点进行了研究和分析，指出了传统预测方法的不足，提出指数平滑法，此方法可以提高预测精度。通过实例分析表明，使用该方法可以很好地预测路面使用性能。
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| 关 键 词： | 路面性能 指数平滑法 预测 |
Application of predicting pavement performance with exponential smoothing model |
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| Wang Changheng,Bao Liangliang.Application of predicting pavement performance with exponential smoothing model[J].Road Traffic & Safety,2008,8(4):42-45,53. |
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| Authors: | Wang Changheng Bao Liangliang |
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| Institution: | Wang Changheng,Bao Liangliang(Civil Engineering Institute,Hunan University,Changsha 410082,China) |
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| Abstract: | Through a study on the regularity of pavement performance indexes and its characteristics with the time development,this paper points out the deficiencies of traditional forecasting method.So adopts the exponential smoothing method to improve forecast accuracy.The analytical result of engineering practice indicates that the model can be applied to forecast the development of pavement performance well,so as to provide an effective and practical method for solving the poor precision of pavement performance mo... |
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| Keywords: | pavement performance exponential smoothing forecasting method |
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