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集装箱航运市场运力供需与运价分析模型
引用本文:侯荣华.集装箱航运市场运力供需与运价分析模型[J].交通运输工程学报,2003,3(3):122-126.
作者姓名:侯荣华
作者单位:上海海运学院交通运输学院,上海,200135
基金项目:交通部基金项目(交科软[2002]002);上海市教育委员会科学技术项目(03IS21)
摘    要:根据船舶集装箱运输生产的航速和箱位两个要素,定义了以每天每箱位投入燃油数和箱位数为自变量的航运生产函数;推导出集装箱航运市场供方根据需求的变化而调整产量的扩张路径;推导出供方短期单位总成本,并求出边际成本曲线,即供应函数。结果表明,在大范围内,边际成本对需求相对较不敏感,运价相对稳定,但当船队已完全利用,边际成本及船东要求的运价上升很快。

关 键 词:集装箱航运  市场  运力供需  运价
文章编号:1671-1637(2003)03-0122-05
修稿时间:2003年2月5日

Analysis model of supply, demand and price of container shipping market
Abstract:The shipping velocity and cell capicity are two key factors for container shipping. A production function for container shipping was presented. In the function, the fuel per slot and per day and slots number were chosen as variables. According to this production function, the unit total cost and marginal cost of supplier can be calculated, so the supplier can adjust the supply according to the change of market. The results show that at a wide range, marginal cost is relatively insensitive to demand, the transport price is relatively stable, but when the fleet is fully utilized, the marginal cost and transport price will increase quickly.9 figs,7 refs.
Keywords:container shipping  market  freight supply and demand  freight price
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