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用蒙特卡洛法分析重庆至宜昌段月客流的概率分布
引用本文:李鑫.用蒙特卡洛法分析重庆至宜昌段月客流的概率分布[J].武汉船舶职业技术学院学报,2011,10(4):14-16,21.
作者姓名:李鑫
作者单位:武汉理工大学,湖北武汉,430063
摘    要:结合长江航务管理局实测统计的2006年-2009年各航段月客流量数据,运用蒙特卡洛等方法,对重庆至宜昌段总月客流量进行了模拟分析,并绘出了其概率分布函数图和概率密度分布图,得出重庆至宜昌段总月客流量近似呈正态分布。

关 键 词:蒙特卡洛  月客流量  概率密度分布

Analysis on Monthly Passenger Flow from Chongqing to Yichang Section Based on Monte Carlo method
LI Xing.Analysis on Monthly Passenger Flow from Chongqing to Yichang Section Based on Monte Carlo method[J].Journal of Wuhan Institute of Shipbuilding Technology,2011,10(4):14-16,21.
Authors:LI Xing
Institution:LI Xing(Wuhan University of Science Technology,Wuhan 430050,China)
Abstract:Combined with the Yangtze River Administration's monthly statistics in various navigation sectors from 2006 to 2009,,this paper applies mathematical statistics and the Monte Carlo method to carry on analysis and simulation on total monthly passenger flow from Chongqing to Yichang section,and draws the probability distribution function charts and probability density distribution.Finally,it is concluded that the total monthly passenger flow from Chongqing to Yichang navigation sector approximately submits to normal distribution.
Keywords:Monte Carlo  Monthly passenger flow  Probability density distribution
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