| 船舶碰撞概率的广义线性预测模型研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 代君,彭家敏.船舶碰撞概率的广义线性预测模型研究[J].武汉船舶职业技术学院学报,2007,6(5):18-19. |
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| 作者姓名： | 代君 彭家敏 |
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| 作者单位： | 武汉理工大学航运学院,湖北武汉,430063 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据Logistic模型基本原理建立事故概率预测模型,并对事故概率进行预测。通过模型预测结果与实际值对比,得出利用广义线性预测模型对事故概率进行预测具有一定可信度。
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| 关 键 词： | 船舶碰撞 概率预测 广义线性模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1671-8100（2007）05-0018-02 |
| 收稿时间： | 2007-07-25 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007年7月25日 |
Study on Logistic Model of Ship Collision Probability Prediction |
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| DAI Jun,PENG Jia-min.Study on Logistic Model of Ship Collision Probability Prediction[J].Journal of Wuhan Institute of Shipbuilding Technology,2007,6(5):18-19. |
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| Authors: | DAI Jun PENG Jia-min |
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| Abstract: | According to the basic principle of logistic model,we build the prediction model of ship collision probability,and then predict the ship collision probability.By comparing the predicted results with real numerical values,we can reach that the prediction of ship collision probability which uses the logistic model has some credibility. |
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| Keywords: | ship collision probability prediction logistic model |
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