大连港与辽宁经济互动发展研究

以大连港与辽宁区域经济的互动发展为研究对象,应用计量经济分析技术建立动态模型,分析港口对区域经济动态影响和区域经济的反向拉动作用。首先运用二元线性回归方程初步证实大连港与辽宁经济之间存在线性关系;其次,经过协整检验,验证"大连港货物吞吐总量与辽宁省GDP总量之间确实存在长期稳定的动态均衡关系"这一结论;最后,运用Granger因果关系检验,对大连港货物吞吐总量与辽宁省GDP总量之间的因果关系进行了分析。

Interactive development between Dalian port and Liaoning's economy

This paper studies the interactive development between Dalian port and Liaoning′s economy.Some econometric models were used to analyze the relationship.A binary linear regression equation was set up to verify the binary relation between Dalian port and Liaoning′s economy.Then the cointegration test was carried out to prove the long-term stable dynamic equilibrium between Dalian port′s throughput and Liaoning′s GDP.In the end,the Granger causality consequence test was made to analyze their causal relationship.