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Part 1. National road safety performance: Data,the emergence of two single-outcome modeling streams and public health
Authors:Marc Gaudry  Matthieu de Lapparent
Affiliation:1. Agora Jules Dupuit (AJD), Université de Montréal, Montréal, Canada;2. Institut Français des Sciences et Technologies des Transports, de l’Aménagement et des Réseaux (IFSTTAR), Université Paris-Est, Noisy-le-Grand, France
Abstract:This first part of the state-of-the art focuses on the origins of road safety modeling, covering data, early models and the public health context of model formulation and use.
Keywords:Observed road victims without crime   Road crimes without observed victims   Discrimination and moments of random variables   Unsustainable horse transport   Safer motor vehicle transport   Secular gains in kilometric road safety rates   Aggregate national data   Individual accident data   Bortkiewicz   Smeed   Weber   Gaussian   Poisson   Regression component   Public health knowhow   Mystery of 1972&ndash  1973 peak in road fatalities   Baby boomers reaching maturity   Intrinsic dangerousness of individuals
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