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不确定条件下开行固定车组重量分组列车适用条件研究
引用本文:陈崇双,王慈光,杨运贵,薛锋.不确定条件下开行固定车组重量分组列车适用条件研究[J].铁道学报,2011(12):1-8.
作者姓名:陈崇双  王慈光  杨运贵  薛锋
作者单位:西南交通大学交通运输与物流学院;中国民航飞行学院空中交通管理学院;
基金项目:西南交通大学博士研究生创新基金
摘    要:分组列车与单组列车是我国车流组织的两种形式,二者互有利弊,对其开行适用条件研究具有理论价值和现实意义。根据固定车组重量分组列车集结的动态特性和车组到达的不确定性,将车组的车数和间隔时间都视为随机变量,应用随机过程理论,解析其在编成站和途中换挂站的集结耗费相对于单组列车的节省和额外消耗,以一昼夜所产生的总净节省的数学期望作为其综合效益的度量,给出分组列车合理开行的判别式和更易判定的必要条件。针对模型的特点,应用离散事件系统仿真方法进行模拟。仿真算例表明:判定条件的吻合率为97.36%,必要条件的失真率为4.52%;其综合效益受到车组平均车数和平均间隔时间参数影响且前者灵敏程度更高;适用于车流量较小且车流到达强度之比接近固定车组重量之比情形。

关 键 词:固定车组重量分组列车  适用条件  不确定性  随机过程  离散事件系统仿真

Research on Applicable Operation Conditions of Multi-block Train with Fixed Weight under Uncertainty
CHEN Chong-shuang,WANG Ci-guang,YANG Yun-gui,XUE Feng.Research on Applicable Operation Conditions of Multi-block Train with Fixed Weight under Uncertainty[J].Journal of the China railway Society,2011(12):1-8.
Authors:CHEN Chong-shuang  WANG Ci-guang  YANG Yun-gui  XUE Feng
Institution:CHEN Chong-shuang1,WANG Ci-guang1,YANG Yun-gui2,XUE Feng1 (1.School of Transportation and Logistics,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu 610031,China,2.College of Air Traffic Management,Civil Aviation Flight University of China,Guanghan 618307,China)
Abstract:The multi-block train(group train) and one-block train(single-group train) are the two modes of car flow organization in our country and they both have their own advantages and disadvantages.The research on their applicable operating conditions is of theoretical and practical significance.Basing on the uncertainty of arrival and dynamic assembling characteristics of the multi-block train with fixed weight,taking the number and interval time of cars as random variables and applying the theory of random proce...
Keywords:multi-block train with fixed weight  applicable condition  uncertainty  random process  discrete event system simulation  
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